UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.2%UC San Diego

48.8%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -105

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 75

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreUC Davis 76

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricUC Davis

53.4MMH Power Index48.4

108.4Offensive Efficiency107.2

100.7Defensive Efficiency103.7

7.7Net Efficiency3.5

-1.3Strength of Schedule-1.9

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.8Tempo72.4

53.1%Effective FG%52.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.7%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

33.2%Free Throw Rate41.5%

5.4Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (108.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (100.7–103.7), net efficiency (7.7–3.5).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.5–33.2).

Final

UC San Diego

68—57

UC Davis

UC San Diego by 11 • 61.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATUC Davis

21-51FG19-55

41.0%FG%35.0%

10-253PT9-22

40.0%3PT%41.0%

16-19FT10-15

84.0%FT%67.0%

34Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists11

11Turnovers13

7Steals8

2Blocks2

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler McGhie	Guard	32	5-15	5-10	3-3	3	1	1	1	18
Nordin Kapic	F	31	5-8	2-3	4-4	7	0	1	0	16
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	35	3-7	0-0	9-12	8	4	2	0	15
Aidan Burke	G	11	4-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Justin Rochelin	G	19	2-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	5
Hayden Gray	Guard	37	1-9	1-7	0-0	1	6	1	1	3
Maximo Milovich	Forward	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Chris Howell	G	29	0-4	0-2	0-0	7	1	1	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	35	6-10	5-6	2-2	2	6	2	0	19
Pablo Tamba	F	35	4-7	0-0	5-7	9	1	1	2	13
Nils Cooper	G	37	3-6	0-2	3-6	13	0	2	0	9
Connor Sevilla	G	30	2-10	2-7	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
TY Johnson	Guard	32	2-15	1-3	0-0	3	3	2	0	5
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	18	1-6	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Niko Rocak	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Sione Lose	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.6Possessions61.6

110.4Offensive Efficiency92.5

92.5Defensive Efficiency110.4

17.9Net Efficiency-17.9

51.0%Effective FG%42.7%

56.6%True Shooting %45.9%

17.7%Turnover Rate21.3%

37.3%Free Throw Rate27.3%

49.0%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.09Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 61.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.