Colgate

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Colgate

60.9%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -156

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColgate 73

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreAmerican University 77

Team Comparison

ColgateMetricAmerican University

48.8MMH Power Index48.2

111.7Offensive Efficiency110.6

109.0Defensive Efficiency105.8

2.7Net Efficiency4.8

-2.0Strength of Schedule-4.3

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

68.4Tempo67.5

54.5%Effective FG%52.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.7%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

30.0%Free Throw Rate30.1%

1.8Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (105.8–109.0), net efficiency (4.8–2.7), recent form (2.2–-0.3), offensive rebounding (28.0–26.9).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (111.7–110.6), strength of schedule (-2.0–-4.3).

Final

Colgate

62—72

American University

American University by 10 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColgateTEAM STATAmerican University

25-57FG27-54

44.0%FG%50.0%

7-233PT7-17

30.0%3PT%41.0%

5-7FT11-13

71.0%FT%85.0%

29Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists11

13Turnovers11

9Steals8

2Blocks1

14Fouls9

Player Box Score

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Cox	G	38	7-9	1-2	1-2	4	3	2	1	16
Jeff Woodward	Forward	24	6-10	0-0	4-4	12	1	1	1	16
Chandler Baker	Guard	31	5-11	2-4	0-0	2	2	3	0	12
Parker Jones	G	28	3-8	2-4	0-1	3	1	0	0	8
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	30	3-8	1-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	7
Kyle Carlesimo	G	11	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Brady Cummins	G	16	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Sam Wright	F	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Josh Ahayere	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Julian Scott	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Stephens	Guard	31	5-9	2-6	4-4	3	4	1	0	16
Matt Rogers	Forward	26	6-11	0-0	3-4	5	2	2	0	15
Colin Smalls	Guard	26	5-10	2-3	0-0	4	2	2	0	12
Greg Jones	F	30	4-6	2-2	1-1	4	0	1	0	11
Lincoln Ball	Guard	30	5-8	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	10
Matt Mayock	F	20	2-4	1-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	7
Eric Michaels	F	8	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	0	1
Geoff Sprouse	G	15	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Wyatt Nausadis	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Mason Whittaker	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

96.4Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency96.4

-15.6Net Efficiency15.6

50.0%Effective FG%56.5%

51.4%True Shooting %59.8%

20.2%Turnover Rate17.1%

12.3%Free Throw Rate24.1%

40.4%3-Point Rate31.5%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

American University won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.