Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.6%Montana State

41.4%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -142

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 77

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreIdaho State 75

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricIdaho State

53.6MMH Power Index45.9

114.4Offensive Efficiency111.0

104.9Defensive Efficiency113.4

9.5Net Efficiency-2.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule0.2

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

68.1Tempo67.1

55.1%Effective FG%52.2%

14.7%Turnover Rate16.5%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

30.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.5Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–45.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–113.4), net efficiency (9.5–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-3.7), offensive rebounding (33.9–28.1), free throw rate (39.1–30.7).

Final

Montana State

80—60

Idaho State

Montana State by 20 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATIdaho State

33-52FG22-66

63.0%FG%33.0%

10-243PT5-23

42.0%3PT%22.0%

4-6FT11-14

67.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds35

2Offensive Rebounds16

21Assists7

13Turnovers11

4Steals3

7Blocks2

16Fouls7

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Patterson	Guard	26	5-7	4-6	0-0	2	0	0	2	14
Patrick McMahon	G	25	6-9	0-1	2-2	4	3	0	1	14
Sam Lecholat	Forward	27	6-8	1-3	0-0	6	4	0	1	13
Jed Miller	G	27	4-5	3-4	0-0	6	4	2	1	11
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	24	2-7	2-6	2-2	3	1	0	2	8
Jabe Mullins	Guard	28	3-5	0-2	0-0	4	5	0	0	6
Chika Nduka	Forward	12	3-4	0-1	0-1	0	1	1	0	6
Bryce Zephir	G	16	2-5	0-1	0-1	2	3	1	0	4
Brian Goracke	Forward	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Calum Rutherfurd	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Darling	G	36	5-16	0-6	6-9	3	2	0	0	16
Jake O'Neil	Guard	34	7-15	1-4	1-1	7	0	1	1	16
Blake Daberkow	F	16	5-7	1-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	11
Connor Hollenbeck	F	24	1-7	0-2	4-4	4	1	1	0	6
AJ Burgin	Guard	22	2-8	2-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Quentin Meza	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Evan Otten	F	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Griffin	F	26	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Jackson Greene	Forward	17	0-5	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Jaedyn Brown	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Justin Graham	Forward	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

119.8Offensive Efficiency89.8

89.8Defensive Efficiency119.8

29.9Net Efficiency-29.9

73.1%Effective FG%37.1%

72.9%True Shooting %41.3%

19.7%Turnover Rate16.3%

11.5%Free Throw Rate21.2%

46.2%3-Point Rate34.8%

1.62Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Montana State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.