Incarnate Word

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Incarnate Word

59.8%Nicholls

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNicholls -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINENicholls -149

Nicholls

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 73

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreNicholls 76

Team Comparison

Incarnate WordMetricNicholls

44.6MMH Power Index43.6

112.0Offensive Efficiency105.3

111.2Defensive Efficiency109.0

0.8Net Efficiency-3.7

-3.6Strength of Schedule-0.4

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

66.3Tempo68.7

52.2%Effective FG%51.0%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.3%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

34.0%Free Throw Rate35.3%

0.5Average Margin-2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–43.6), offensive efficiency (112.0–105.3), net efficiency (0.8–-3.7), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.0).

Nicholls COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.0–111.2), strength of schedule (-0.4–-3.6), recent form (-4.7–-8.5).

Final

Incarnate Word

70—74

Nicholls

Nicholls by 4 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Incarnate WordTEAM STATNicholls

27-67FG22-57

40.0%FG%39.0%

5-223PT5-18

23.0%3PT%28.0%

11-15FT25-34

73.0%FT%74.0%

35Rebounds45

14Offensive Rebounds16

13Assists8

12Turnovers18

15Steals8

2Blocks4

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Hayman	Forward	44	12-20	3-6	2-2	4	1	3	0	29
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	44	5-17	2-7	4-6	5	4	3	1	16
Lamin Sabally	F	33	4-6	0-0	4-4	8	1	4	0	12
Davion Bailey	G	41	4-17	0-7	0-0	3	5	3	0	8
Jordan Pyke	F	28	1-4	0-1	1-3	5	2	1	0	3
Marcus Glover	F	25	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Jayden Williams	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
TJ Ford Jr.	Point Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Nicholls

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamal West Jr.	F	37	3-8	0-1	11-14	10	1	3	3	17
Michael Gray Jr.	G	24	5-10	3-5	2-2	5	1	0	0	15
Jaylen Searles	G	36	4-7	1-3	2-2	11	1	0	0	11
Sincere Malone	F	17	2-3	0-0	4-4	3	0	2	0	8
Rob Brown III	G	40	3-14	0-7	1-4	6	1	1	0	7
Trae English	G	25	2-5	1-2	2-2	0	3	2	0	7
Emarion Ellis	Guard	17	1-3	0-0	3-6	1	0	0	0	5
Caleb Robinson	Guard	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	4
Byron Ireland	Guard	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mekhi Collins	Not Available	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

95.0Offensive Efficiency100.4

100.4Defensive Efficiency95.0

-5.4Net Efficiency5.4

44.0%Effective FG%43.0%

47.2%True Shooting %50.6%

16.6%Turnover Rate24.0%

22.4%Free Throw Rate59.6%

32.8%3-Point Rate31.6%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.44

Game Summary

Nicholls won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.