Colorado

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%Colorado

78.4%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL157.8

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -363

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado 74

Projected Total157.8

Projected ScoreTCU 84

Team Comparison

ColoradoMetricTCU

52.7MMH Power Index59.7

112.9Offensive Efficiency110.2

112.4Defensive Efficiency102.7

0.5Net Efficiency7.5

5.1Strength of Schedule4.6

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

71.0Tempo70.2

53.0%Effective FG%50.5%

14.6%Turnover Rate15.3%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

37.9%Free Throw Rate38.3%

0.4Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–52.7), defensive efficiency (102.7–112.4), net efficiency (7.5–0.5), recent form (2.2–-7.7).

Colorado COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.9–110.2), strength of schedule (5.1–4.6), shooting efficiency (53.0–50.5).

Final

Colorado

69—67

TCU

Colorado by 2 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColoradoTEAM STATTCU

21-51FG25-66

41.0%FG%38.0%

9-223PT7-22

41.0%3PT%32.0%

18-24FT10-20

75.0%FT%50.0%

34Rebounds45

10Offensive Rebounds22

16Assists8

15Turnovers14

10Steals13

6Blocks4

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrej Jakimovski	Forward	28	7-15	4-11	0-0	7	2	2	0	18
Julian Hammond III	Guard	29	4-10	1-2	7-9	2	3	2	0	16
Javon Ruffin	G	27	3-7	1-2	2-2	3	4	1	0	9
Trevor Baskin	Forward	27	1-5	0-1	4-7	7	3	2	4	6
RJ Smith	G	15	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Bangot Dak	F	22	1-4	0-1	2-2	0	1	0	2	4
Assane Diop	F	15	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Felix Kossaras	G	9	0-1	0-1	3-4	4	0	1	0	3
Elijah Malone	C	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Sebastian Rancik	F	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Reynolds	Guard	33	7-14	3-6	0-0	2	2	2	0	17
Trazarien White	Forward	35	5-12	0-3	3-5	4	1	3	0	13
Vasean Allette	PG	32	3-12	1-3	2-6	4	2	2	0	9
Jace Posey	G	17	3-5	3-3	0-2	1	0	2	0	9
David Punch	F	23	3-12	0-4	1-2	8	0	2	2	7
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	26	2-4	0-0	1-2	11	1	2	2	5
Malick Diallo	C	14	1-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Micah Robinson	F	12	1-3	0-1	1-1	3	1	0	0	3
Brendan Wenzel	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

102.2Offensive Efficiency99.3

99.3Defensive Efficiency102.2

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

50.0%Effective FG%43.2%

55.3%True Shooting %44.4%

22.3%Turnover Rate20.7%

47.1%Free Throw Rate30.3%

43.1%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.07Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

Colorado won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.