Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.0%Saint Francis

86.0%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -13.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -614

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 68

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 82

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricCentral Connecticut

32.7MMH Power Index44.4

101.2Offensive Efficiency111.4

114.7Defensive Efficiency107.0

-13.5Net Efficiency4.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule-7.7

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

70.6Tempo66.3

49.8%Effective FG%54.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

31.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-9.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–32.7), offensive efficiency (111.4–101.2), defensive efficiency (107.0–114.7), net efficiency (4.4–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-7.7), offensive rebounding (28.4–28.2).

Final

Saint Francis

46—43

Central Connecticut

Saint Francis by 3 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

19-60FG17-56

32.0%FG%30.0%

5-263PT3-17

19.0%3PT%18.0%

3-7FT6-8

43.0%FT%75.0%

39Rebounds44

9Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists5

10Turnovers16

7Steals6

1Blocks4

11Fouls11

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	33	6-15	2-7	0-0	4	1	1	0	14
Valentino Pinedo	F	21	4-7	0-0	1-3	4	1	2	1	9
Riley Parker	G	32	2-9	2-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Daemar Kelly	G	31	3-12	0-7	0-0	7	3	0	0	6
Chris Moncrief	G	33	2-6	0-1	1-2	6	2	3	0	5
Wisler Sanon II	Guard	15	1-4	0-1	1-2	5	0	1	0	3
Jeremy Clayville	G	9	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Aidan Harris	Forward	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	0
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Miles Webb	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Haid	G	31	4-16	0-5	6-8	5	1	2	1	14
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	30	3-7	0-3	0-0	5	1	2	1	6
Abdul Momoh	F	29	3-5	0-0	0-0	11	0	0	1	6
Darin Smith Jr.	F	26	2-4	2-4	0-0	4	1	1	0	6
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	18	2-6	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jordan Jones	Guard	29	2-10	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	4
Jayden Brown	Forward	20	1-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	2
Jaelen McGlone	Guard	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Max Frazier	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

70.1Offensive Efficiency65.5

65.5Defensive Efficiency70.1

4.6Net Efficiency-4.6

35.8%Effective FG%33.0%

36.3%True Shooting %36.0%

15.5%Turnover Rate24.0%

11.7%Free Throw Rate14.3%

43.3%3-Point Rate30.4%

0.90Assist / Turnover0.31

Game Summary

Saint Francis won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.