Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.1%Arizona State

51.9%Kansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKansas State -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL162.0

MODEL MONEYLINEKansas State -108

Kansas State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 80

Projected Total162.0

Projected ScoreKansas State 82

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricKansas State

51MMH Power Index47.1

108.1Offensive Efficiency107.8

110.9Defensive Efficiency110.9

-2.8Net Efficiency-3.1

7.0Strength of Schedule5.5

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

70.6Tempo73.8

51.3%Effective FG%53.5%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.4%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

40.2%Free Throw Rate27.4%

-1.9Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–47.1), offensive efficiency (108.1–107.8), net efficiency (-2.8–-3.1), strength of schedule (7.0–5.5).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.5–51.3).

Final

Arizona State

66—71

Kansas State

Kansas State by 5 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATKansas State

23-60FG27-54

38.0%FG%50.0%

7-263PT8-18

27.0%3PT%44.0%

13-19FT9-12

68.0%FT%75.0%

35Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists11

10Turnovers13

4Steals7

3Blocks3

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alston Mason	Guard	35	4-15	2-8	7-8	2	3	0	0	17
Joson Sanon	G	39	6-14	1-5	0-0	7	0	2	0	13
Basheer Jihad	Forward	36	4-13	1-4	4-5	4	2	1	0	13
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	29	5-7	0-0	1-2	14	3	1	3	11
Amier Ali	G	26	2-4	1-2	1-2	5	2	0	0	6
Adam Miller	G	22	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Trevor Best	G	13	1-2	1-2	0-2	0	0	0	0	3

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	38	10-17	4-9	2-3	8	2	1	2	26
Dug McDaniel	G	32	5-13	0-0	4-5	4	5	2	0	14
Max Jones	Guard	38	4-7	2-3	0-1	8	2	1	0	10
Brendan Hausen	G	35	4-6	2-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	10
David N'Guessan	Guard	17	2-4	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	0	5
Ugonna Onyenso	C	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
David Castillo	G	10	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	2	0	0	2
Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
C.J. Jones	G	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

99.4Offensive Efficiency106.9

106.9Defensive Efficiency99.4

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

44.2%Effective FG%57.4%

47.8%True Shooting %59.5%

14.9%Turnover Rate19.8%

31.7%Free Throw Rate22.2%

43.3%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.10Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Kansas State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.