Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Montana State

62.7%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -168

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 77

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 81

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricNorthern Colorado

53.6MMH Power Index53.7

114.4Offensive Efficiency116.0

104.9Defensive Efficiency107.6

9.5Net Efficiency8.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule-4.3

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

68.1Tempo71.1

55.1%Effective FG%56.9%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

30.7%Free Throw Rate27.8%

6.5Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.9–107.6), net efficiency (9.5–8.4), strength of schedule (-3.7–-4.3), ball security (14.7–15.3).

Northern Colorado COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.7–53.6), offensive efficiency (116.0–114.4), recent form (10.8–4.9).

Final

Montana State

45—72

Northern Colorado

Northern Colorado by 27 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

13-55FG27-54

24.0%FG%50.0%

4-243PT5-15

17.0%3PT%33.0%

15-18FT13-18

83.0%FT%72.0%

24Rebounds43

7Offensive Rebounds10

5Assists12

7Turnovers11

8Steals7

4Blocks—

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Zephir	G	26	4-8	2-3	1-2	1	0	1	0	11
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	25	3-10	1-2	2-2	5	2	1	1	9
Brian Goracke	Forward	16	2-6	1-2	4-6	1	0	0	0	9
Sam Lecholat	Forward	26	1-5	0-3	2-2	3	1	0	2	4
Jed Miller	G	26	1-4	0-3	2-2	3	1	5	0	4
Jabe Mullins	Guard	23	0-8	0-5	2-2	5	0	0	0	2
Patrick McMahon	G	19	0-6	0-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Chika Nduka	Forward	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
Calum Rutherfurd	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Tyler Patterson	Guard	22	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jaron Rillie	Guard	34	5-12	0-2	3-4	4	2	0	13
Brock Wisne	F	26	5-7	0-1	2-2	5	0	2	12
Quinn Denker	G	24	4-6	0-1	4-6	2	4	0	12
Marcell McCreary	G	23	5-8	1-2	0-0	9	1	2	11
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	33	3-8	1-3	2-4	5	1	0	9
Langston Reynolds	G	24	3-5	1-1	2-2	5	3	1	9
Zach Bloch	G	21	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	0	2	6
Taeshaud Jackson	F	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	7	1	0	0
William Humer	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Egan Shields	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Radek Homer	Guard	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

70.8Offensive Efficiency113.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency70.8

-42.5Net Efficiency42.5

27.3%Effective FG%54.6%

35.4%True Shooting %57.6%

11.0%Turnover Rate17.3%

32.7%Free Throw Rate33.3%

43.6%3-Point Rate27.8%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.