Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.9%Northwestern

49.1%Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMinnesota -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL141.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -104

Minnesota

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 70

Projected Total141.5

Projected ScoreMinnesota 71

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricMinnesota

55.4MMH Power Index50.5

111.6Offensive Efficiency109.1

109.8Defensive Efficiency107.7

1.8Net Efficiency1.4

5.6Strength of Schedule3.2

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

65.6Tempo63.6

51.9%Effective FG%54.1%

13.0%Turnover Rate16.5%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

34.8%Free Throw Rate36.9%

1.2Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–50.5), offensive efficiency (111.6–109.1), net efficiency (1.8–1.4), strength of schedule (5.6–3.2).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.7–109.8), shooting efficiency (54.1–51.9), free throw rate (36.9–34.8).

Final

Northwestern

72—64

Minnesota

Northwestern by 8 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATMinnesota

27-56FG20-53

48.0%FG%38.0%

6-213PT7-22

29.0%3PT%32.0%

12-22FT17-21

55.0%FT%81.0%

36Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds10

20Assists12

11Turnovers12

4Steals7

4Blocks7

16Fouls21

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	40	12-22	0-3	4-10	7	3	1	0	28
Ty Berry	Guard	36	4-12	4-10	2-4	7	3	0	0	14
Jordan Clayton	G	34	5-7	1-2	0-0	4	4	1	1	11
K.J. Windham	G	24	3-6	1-3	3-4	0	4	0	0	10
Matthew Nicholson	Center	32	2-5	0-1	3-4	7	3	1	3	7
Justin Mullins	G	25	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	3	1	0	2
Luke Hunger	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Keenan Fitzmorris	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Angelo Ciaravino	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dawson Garcia	Forward	40	7-13	2-2	6-6	7	3	0	0	22
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	21	4-8	3-7	0-0	1	1	0	1	11
Isaac Asuma	G	20	3-9	1-4	1-2	3	0	1	2	8
Parker Fox	Forward	19	1-5	0-1	4-4	4	0	0	2	6
Lu'Cye Patterson	Guard	34	1-6	0-3	3-4	3	2	3	1	5
Brennan Rigsby Jr.	G	23	2-6	1-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	5
Femi Odukale	Guard	24	1-3	0-1	2-3	1	4	1	0	4
Frank Mitchell	F	19	1-3	0-0	1-2	7	0	1	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

110.3Offensive Efficiency98.0

98.0Defensive Efficiency110.3

12.3Net Efficiency-12.3

53.6%Effective FG%44.3%

54.2%True Shooting %50.8%

16.8%Turnover Rate18.5%

39.3%Free Throw Rate39.6%

37.5%3-Point Rate41.5%

1.82Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.