Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.7%Fresno State

87.3%Nevada

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNevada -12.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINENevada -687

Nevada

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 68

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreNevada 80

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricNevada

47.1MMH Power Index59.8

104.9Offensive Efficiency112.4

104.9Defensive Efficiency105.7

0.0Net Efficiency6.7

1.5Strength of Schedule3.7

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

69.4Tempo67.7

51.3%Effective FG%50.2%

18.2%Turnover Rate14.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

35.5%Free Throw Rate46.0%

0.0Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nevada HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNevada holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–47.1), offensive efficiency (112.4–104.9), net efficiency (6.7–0.0), strength of schedule (3.7–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–105.7), shooting efficiency (51.3–50.2).

Final

Fresno State

71—86

Nevada

Nevada by 15 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATNevada

22-53FG32-67

42.0%FG%48.0%

8-203PT6-24

40.0%3PT%25.0%

19-29FT16-21

66.0%FT%76.0%

33Rebounds42

12Offensive Rebounds17

12Assists19

11Turnovers10

6Steals4

2Blocks10

18Fouls23

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Price	F	36	3-8	0-0	11-16	11	2	0	1	17
Brian Amuneke	G	37	6-13	3-7	1-2	5	1	2	0	16
Zaon Collins	G	40	4-10	0-2	7-10	2	8	1	0	15
Jasir Tremble	Guard	23	5-14	4-8	0-0	2	0	1	0	14
Alex Crawford	F	39	4-8	1-3	0-1	5	1	1	0	9
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	0
Mor Seck	C	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	38	5-13	0-5	7-7	7	10	1	0	17
Tyler Rolison	G	35	6-12	1-4	2-3	3	3	1	2	15
Chuck Bailey III	G	14	4-6	3-4	1-2	2	0	0	0	12
Nick Davidson	F	33	5-12	0-2	1-2	11	2	0	4	11
Xavier DuSell	Guard	34	3-8	2-7	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Brandon Love	Forward	17	3-5	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	1	8
Justin McBride	F	14	4-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
K.J. Hymes	Forward	8	2-3	0-0	1-3	4	3	0	2	5
Jeriah Coleman	C	6	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	2
Jordan Malmlov	Guard	1	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

104.6Offensive Efficiency126.7

126.7Defensive Efficiency104.6

-22.1Net Efficiency22.1

49.1%Effective FG%52.2%

53.2%True Shooting %55.9%

16.7%Turnover Rate14.3%

54.7%Free Throw Rate31.3%

37.7%3-Point Rate35.8%

1.09Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Nevada won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.