Kansas State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.9%Kansas State

86.1%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -12.6

PROJECTED TOTAL164.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -619

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKansas State 76

Projected Total164.0

Projected ScoreBaylor 88

Team Comparison

Kansas StateMetricBaylor

47.1MMH Power Index58.9

107.8Offensive Efficiency116.7

110.9Defensive Efficiency109.5

-3.1Net Efficiency7.2

5.5Strength of Schedule4.0

-14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

73.8Tempo69.7

53.5%Effective FG%54.4%

17.4%Turnover Rate16.4%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

27.4%Free Throw Rate34.8%

-2.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–47.1), offensive efficiency (116.7–107.8), defensive efficiency (109.5–110.9), net efficiency (7.2–-3.1).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–4.0).

Final

Kansas State

56—70

Baylor

Baylor by 14 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Kansas StateTEAM STATBaylor

21-57FG28-61

37.0%FG%46.0%

3-253PT7-21

12.0%3PT%33.0%

11-13FT7-10

85.0%FT%70.0%

32Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists16

7Turnovers6

3Steals5

—Blocks3

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
David N'Guessan	Guard	38	8-9	0-0	4-5	10	0	0	20
Dug McDaniel	G	38	6-17	1-6	1-2	7	5	1	14
Max Jones	Guard	35	3-10	0-6	4-4	3	2	1	10
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	38	2-9	1-6	0-0	7	1	0	5
C.J. Jones	G	18	1-6	0-2	2-2	0	2	1	4
Brendan Hausen	G	20	1-5	1-5	0-0	0	0	0	3
Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0
Ugonna Onyenso	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
David Castillo	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	35	7-15	1-5	4-5	10	3	3	0	19
Jayden Nunn	Guard	32	7-10	4-6	0-0	3	0	1	2	18
Norchad Omier	Forward	36	6-14	0-2	0-1	14	1	1	0	12
Jeremy Roach	Guard	32	4-10	0-2	1-2	3	5	0	0	9
Jalen Celestine	G	30	3-7	1-4	0-0	5	0	0	1	7
Robert Wright III	G	18	1-4	1-2	0-0	0	4	0	0	3
Langston Love	G	13	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	3	0	0	2
Marino Dubravcic	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

91.1Offensive Efficiency113.8

113.8Defensive Efficiency91.1

-22.8Net Efficiency22.8

39.5%Effective FG%51.6%

44.3%True Shooting %53.2%

11.4%Turnover Rate9.7%

22.8%Free Throw Rate16.4%

43.9%3-Point Rate34.4%

1.43Assist / Turnover2.67

Game Summary

Baylor won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.