California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%California

69.2%Stanford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStanford -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEStanford -225

Stanford

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 74

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreStanford 79

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricStanford

56.5MMH Power Index59.2

111.8Offensive Efficiency111.6

104.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.0Net Efficiency4.5

2.8Strength of Schedule5.2

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency7.4

69.9Tempo68.1

52.6%Effective FG%51.9%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

36.8%Free Throw Rate37.2%

4.9Average Margin3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.8–111.6), defensive efficiency (104.8–107.1), net efficiency (7.0–4.5), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.9).

Stanford COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.2–56.5), strength of schedule (5.2–2.8), recent form (7.4–1.8).

Final

California

73—78

Stanford

Stanford by 5 • 62.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATStanford

28-53FG28-55

53.0%FG%51.0%

5-183PT11-21

28.0%3PT%52.0%

12-15FT11-13

80.0%FT%85.0%

34Rebounds21

13Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists15

16Turnovers8

6Steals11

1Blocks1

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrej Stojakovic	G	34	13-22	4-7	7-8	5	1	0	0	37
DeJuan Campbell	G	36	8-20	1-8	2-4	10	1	1	0	19
Mady Sissoko	Center	30	4-4	0-0	3-3	8	1	0	0	11
Christian Tucker	Guard	37	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	4	4	1	2
Rytis Petraitis	F	36	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Lee Dort	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Vladimir Pavlovic	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Spencer Mahoney	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maxime Raynaud	Forward	38	9-19	3-8	2-3	8	2	2	1	23
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	37	7-12	1-2	6-7	3	6	3	0	21
Oziyah Sellers	G	34	4-13	3-6	2-2	2	2	1	0	13
Chisom Okpara	F	24	5-5	1-1	1-1	0	1	1	0	12
Benny Gealer	G	24	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	6
Donavin Young	F	20	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	3
Ryan Agarwal	G	20	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	2	0	0
Aidan Cammann	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.7Possessions62.7

116.4Offensive Efficiency124.4

124.4Defensive Efficiency116.4

-8.0Net Efficiency8.0

57.5%Effective FG%60.9%

60.7%True Shooting %63.8%

25.3%Turnover Rate12.9%

28.3%Free Throw Rate23.6%

34.0%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Stanford won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.