Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.6%Cal State Bakersfield

93.4%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -18.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -1415

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 68

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 87

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricUC Santa Barbara

32.2MMH Power Index51.4

100.2Offensive Efficiency113.2

112.6Defensive Efficiency106.1

-12.4Net Efficiency7.1

-1.7Strength of Schedule-2.0

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

73.0Tempo68.5

46.4%Effective FG%54.8%

18.6%Turnover Rate18.7%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

43.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-9.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (113.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–112.6), net efficiency (7.1–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.0), ball security (18.6–18.7), free throw rate (43.8–37.9).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

66—71

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 5 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

25-61FG22-52

41.0%FG%42.0%

6-203PT7-26

30.0%3PT%27.0%

10-12FT20-29

83.0%FT%69.0%

41Rebounds32

14Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists14

13Turnovers9

2Steals7

3Blocks5

24Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	27	6-15	0-3	3-4	5	4	0	0	15
CJ Hardy	G	31	6-8	0-0	0-0	5	3	1	0	12
Corey Stephenson	G	31	5-13	1-3	1-2	9	1	0	2	12
Marvin McGhee III	G	34	3-9	2-8	2-2	5	0	0	0	10
Jaden Alexander	G	20	3-6	2-2	2-2	6	0	0	0	10
Marvin McGhee IV	G	14	2-4	1-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	7
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	21	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Cameron Clark	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Kadar Waller	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Shakir Odunewu	C	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephan Swenson	Guard	36	4-9	1-5	6-6	6	3	4	1	15
Colin Smith	F	25	5-7	3-5	0-2	0	0	1	2	13
Kenny Pohto	Forward	24	4-7	0-0	5-8	7	2	1	0	13
Jason Fontenet II	G	24	1-4	0-1	4-6	6	5	0	0	6
Koat Keat Tong	F	12	2-2	0-0	2-3	2	0	0	0	6
Cole Anderson	Guard	26	2-8	1-7	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Deuce Turner	G	14	1-6	1-4	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Ben Shtolzberg	G	22	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	0	4
Max Murrell	Forward	10	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Zion Sensley	G	5	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Ariel Bland	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency107.9

107.9Defensive Efficiency100.3

-7.6Net Efficiency7.6

45.9%Effective FG%49.0%

49.5%True Shooting %54.0%

19.8%Turnover Rate13.7%

19.7%Free Throw Rate55.8%

32.8%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.