Montana

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Montana

80.7%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -418

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana 75

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 84

Team Comparison

MontanaMetricNorthern Colorado

45.4MMH Power Index53.7

108.6Offensive Efficiency116.0

104.8Defensive Efficiency107.6

3.8Net Efficiency8.4

-2.4Strength of Schedule-4.3

-6.5Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

71.2Tempo71.1

56.3%Effective FG%56.9%

19.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

37.7%Free Throw Rate27.8%

2.7Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–45.4), offensive efficiency (116.0–108.6), net efficiency (8.4–3.8), recent form (10.8–-6.5).

Montana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–107.6), strength of schedule (-2.4–-4.3), free throw rate (37.7–27.8).

Final

Montana

91—83

Northern Colorado

Montana by 8 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MontanaTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

30-46FG30-51

65.0%FG%59.0%

7-113PT6-14

64.0%3PT%43.0%

24-28FT17-20

86.0%FT%85.0%

22Rebounds19

5Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists10

10Turnovers8

4Steals4

3Blocks1

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kai Johnson	Guard	32	7-10	2-2	7-8	3	1	0	2	23
Brandon Whitney	Guard	35	7-9	2-2	2-2	1	3	1	0	18
Joe Pridgen	Guard	36	7-11	0-0	3-4	5	2	1	1	17
Malik Messina-Moore	G	33	5-7	3-4	2-2	3	0	1	0	15
Money Williams	G	18	1-4	0-2	5-5	0	1	1	0	7
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	28	3-4	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	0	6
Austin Patterson	Guard	16	0-1	0-1	5-6	6	1	0	0	5
Amari Jedkins	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaron Rillie	Guard	40	10-15	3-6	1-2	4	6	2	0	24
Langston Reynolds	G	37	7-12	1-2	3-4	2	2	0	0	18
Brock Wisne	F	34	5-7	0-0	5-6	3	0	2	0	15
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	34	3-7	0-2	8-8	2	2	0	0	14
Marcell McCreary	G	14	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	5
Quinn Denker	G	18	2-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Zach Bloch	G	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Taeshaud Jackson	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

142.4Offensive Efficiency129.9

129.9Defensive Efficiency142.4

12.5Net Efficiency-12.5

72.8%Effective FG%64.7%

76.7%True Shooting %68.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate12.6%

60.9%Free Throw Rate39.2%

23.9%3-Point Rate27.5%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Montana won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.