Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.7%Arkansas

21.3%Ole Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL166.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -369

Ole Miss

15-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 87

Projected Total166.3

Projected ScoreOle Miss 79

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricOle Miss

69.3MMH Power Index53

122.2Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.8Defensive Efficiency109.5

12.4Net Efficiency-0.3

8.6Strength of Schedule5.4

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.3

73.8Tempo69.5

56.4%Effective FG%50.6%

12.2%Turnover Rate14.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

36.5%Free Throw Rate33.8%

9.2Average Margin-0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–53.0), offensive efficiency (122.2–109.2), net efficiency (12.4–-0.3), strength of schedule (8.6–5.4).

Ole Miss COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–109.8).

Final

Arkansas

80—83

Ole Miss

Ole Miss by 3 • 75.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATOle Miss

26-56FG30-64

46.0%FG%47.0%

7-223PT8-24

32.0%3PT%33.0%

21-32FT15-20

66.0%FT%75.0%

38Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists10

15Turnovers11

9Steals12

4Blocks1

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	27	6-10	0-0	5-8	8	2	1	1	17
Trevon Brazile	F	35	6-8	2-4	1-4	11	2	1	0	15
Billy Richmond III	G	31	4-7	1-1	6-8	4	1	1	0	15
Karter Knox	G	27	3-9	3-7	5-6	3	4	1	1	14
Johnell Davis	Guard	33	4-7	1-3	1-1	1	0	4	1	10
D.J. Wagner	G	39	3-12	0-5	3-5	4	4	1	0	9
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	8	0-3	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	1	0

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Dia	F	32	7-8	1-1	4-7	8	1	3	0	19
Jaylen Murray	Guard	32	6-13	2-4	3-3	3	5	1	0	17
Matthew Murrell	Guard	33	4-11	1-5	3-4	2	1	2	1	12
Davon Barnes	Not Available	24	3-4	2-3	3-4	4	0	0	0	11
Sean Pedulla	Guard	26	4-12	1-7	1-1	3	2	2	0	10
Dre Davis	Guard	22	3-11	0-2	1-1	8	1	1	0	7
Jaemyn Brakefield	Forward	22	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	3	0	4
Eduardo Klafke	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

75.4Possessions75.4

106.1Offensive Efficiency110.1

110.1Defensive Efficiency106.1

-4.0Net Efficiency4.0

52.7%Effective FG%53.1%

56.2%True Shooting %56.5%

20.2%Turnover Rate14.4%

57.1%Free Throw Rate31.3%

39.3%3-Point Rate37.5%

0.87Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

Ole Miss won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 75.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.