Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Ohio

84.7%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -554

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 75

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreToledo 86

Team Comparison

OhioMetricToledo

48MMH Power Index58.8

109.7Offensive Efficiency116.0

110.7Defensive Efficiency109.6

-1.0Net Efficiency6.4

-0.1Strength of Schedule2.3

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

71.0Tempo69.8

52.0%Effective FG%55.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate14.6%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

37.8%Free Throw Rate30.3%

-0.7Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–48.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.7), defensive efficiency (109.6–110.7), net efficiency (6.4–-1.0).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.8–30.3).

Final

Ohio

85—90

Toledo

Toledo by 5 • 78.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATToledo

32-69FG28-65

46.0%FG%43.0%

5-153PT5-14

33.0%3PT%36.0%

16-21FT29-35

76.0%FT%83.0%

37Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds14

6Assists8

11Turnovers10

2Steals6

3Blocks6

22Fouls21

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Paveletzke	G	41	9-16	1-3	9-11	3	3	0	0	28
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	38	5-18	2-4	0-0	5	1	0	1	12
Vic Searls	Forward	18	4-4	0-0	4-5	3	0	0	0	12
AJ Clayton	Forward	32	4-7	2-4	0-0	3	0	1	2	10
Elmore James IV	G	35	3-11	0-3	1-2	7	1	0	0	7
Aidan Hadaway	F	22	3-6	0-1	1-1	8	0	0	0	7
Elijah Elliott	G	26	2-4	0-0	1-2	1	1	1	0	5
Ajay Sheldon	G	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Adams	Guard	34	7-13	2-4	10-12	3	1	2	0	26
Sam Lewis	G	44	9-21	2-3	1-1	3	2	3	4	21
Sonny Wilson	G	45	6-14	0-2	3-4	13	3	0	0	15
Seth Hubbard	G	29	2-8	0-3	8-8	6	0	1	0	12
Javan Simmons	F	39	2-5	0-0	6-8	11	0	0	1	10
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	5	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Bryce Ford	G	23	0-2	0-1	0-1	2	2	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.3Possessions78.3

108.6Offensive Efficiency114.9

114.9Defensive Efficiency108.6

-6.4Net Efficiency6.4

50.0%Effective FG%46.9%

53.8%True Shooting %55.1%

13.9%Turnover Rate12.9%

30.4%Free Throw Rate53.8%

21.7%3-Point Rate21.5%

0.55Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Toledo won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 78.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.