Davidson

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.6%Davidson

88.4%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -15.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -762

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDavidson 67

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 83

Team Comparison

DavidsonMetricSaint Louis

53MMH Power Index66.7

109.9Offensive Efficiency120.8

103.7Defensive Efficiency97.6

6.2Net Efficiency23.2

0.1Strength of Schedule0.3

-0.6Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

65.5Tempo72.2

53.7%Effective FG%59.9%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.1%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

32.9%Free Throw Rate33.9%

4.1Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–53.0), offensive efficiency (120.8–109.9), defensive efficiency (97.6–103.7), net efficiency (23.2–6.2).

Davidson COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–17.1).

Final

Davidson

75—83

Saint Louis

Saint Louis by 8 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DavidsonTEAM STATSaint Louis

29-66FG29-51

44.0%FG%57.0%

11-323PT12-28

34.0%3PT%43.0%

6-6FT13-20

100.0%FT%65.0%

30Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists16

10Turnovers14

7Steals7

2Blocks3

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Davidson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Kochera	Guard	33	6-15	2-6	4-4	4	2	0	0	18
Zach Laput	Guard	25	6-8	4-5	0-0	3	0	1	0	16
Mike Loughnane	G	27	6-8	2-4	0-0	1	3	2	0	14
Reed Bailey	F	38	4-13	0-2	2-2	5	4	0	0	10
Bobby Durkin	F	36	3-10	0-5	0-0	2	2	3	0	6
Roberts Blums	G	15	2-5	2-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Hunter Adam	G	16	2-4	1-2	0-0	7	1	0	1	5
Manie Joses	F	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	1	0

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Swope	Guard	33	9-15	5-9	3-4	3	2	1	0	26
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	37	8-16	6-11	3-4	6	2	1	0	25
Amari McCottry	G	19	5-5	0-0	5-9	4	1	1	1	15
Robbie Avila	C	38	5-10	1-5	2-3	11	7	1	0	13
Kalu Anya	F	33	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	2	4
Kobe Johnson	Guard	35	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	2	3	0	0
Dylan Warlick	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Max Pikaar	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

107.6Offensive Efficiency119.1

119.1Defensive Efficiency107.6

-11.5Net Efficiency11.5

52.3%Effective FG%68.6%

54.5%True Shooting %68.6%

14.3%Turnover Rate20.1%

9.1%Free Throw Rate39.2%

48.5%3-Point Rate54.9%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.