North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.4%North Carolina

41.6%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -140

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 79

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreWake Forest 77

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricWake Forest

65.2MMH Power Index57.6

115.5Offensive Efficiency112.4

103.8Defensive Efficiency109.7

11.7Net Efficiency2.7

7.6Strength of Schedule7.2

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.0Tempo70.2

54.6%Effective FG%52.8%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

38.1%Free Throw Rate36.1%

8.1Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–57.6), offensive efficiency (115.5–112.4), defensive efficiency (103.8–109.7), net efficiency (11.7–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-0.1–-1.8).

Final

North Carolina

68—59

Wake Forest

North Carolina by 9 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATWake Forest

19-56FG21-62

34.0%FG%34.0%

8-223PT2-22

36.0%3PT%9.0%

22-27FT15-20

81.0%FT%75.0%

46Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists6

12Turnovers10

4Steals6

5Blocks6

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	37	5-9	5-6	8-8	3	1	0	0	23
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	26	4-12	0-0	2-4	13	0	1	3	10
Seth Trimble	G	22	1-6	0-2	8-9	4	1	0	1	10
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	34	2-10	2-7	3-4	9	3	1	0	9
Elliot Cadeau	G	22	4-7	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Ian Jackson	G	17	1-6	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Jalen Washington	C	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	0	3
Drake Powell	Guard	28	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	1	2

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Sallis	Guard	40	9-19	1-5	6-7	5	2	2	0	25
Tre'Von Spillers	F	34	5-10	0-2	0-0	9	0	0	1	10
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	33	4-15	0-6	1-2	6	2	2	1	9
Juke Harris	G	28	2-4	1-2	3-4	4	0	1	1	8
Omaha Biliew	F	11	1-2	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	1	3
Efton Reid III	Forward	32	0-5	0-4	2-4	10	2	0	2	2
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	15	0-5	0-2	2-2	0	0	1	0	2
Parker Friedrichsen	G	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

96.2Offensive Efficiency83.5

83.5Defensive Efficiency96.2

12.7Net Efficiency-12.7

41.1%Effective FG%35.5%

49.4%True Shooting %41.3%

17.2%Turnover Rate14.0%

48.2%Free Throw Rate32.3%

39.3%3-Point Rate35.5%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.