Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%Boise State

64.0%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -178

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 73

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 79

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricSan Diego State

59.5MMH Power Index60.1

113.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

107.1Defensive Efficiency99.3

6.8Net Efficiency11.0

4.2Strength of Schedule3.8

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

68.6Tempo70.8

52.7%Effective FG%53.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

42.7%Free Throw Rate39.6%

4.7Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–110.3), strength of schedule (4.2–3.8), recent form (5.2–0.4), ball security (17.0–17.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (60.1–59.5), defensive efficiency (99.3–107.1), net efficiency (11.0–6.8).

Final

Boise State

62—52

San Diego State

Boise State by 10 • 61.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATSan Diego State

19-56FG18-47

34.0%FG%38.0%

11-403PT7-21

28.0%3PT%33.0%

13-17FT9-15

76.0%FT%60.0%

40Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds4

6Assists11

10Turnovers12

8Steals4

4Blocks3

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	38	4-13	4-13	4-4	2	4	0	0	16
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	36	5-12	2-7	2-2	7	0	2	1	14
Andrew Meadow	F	35	4-13	2-8	2-5	7	0	3	0	12
Pearson Carmichael	F	25	3-9	2-6	2-2	5	2	1	0	10
Javan Buchanan	F	16	1-4	1-3	1-2	3	0	1	1	4
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	23	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	2	2
RJ Keene II	G	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	9	0	0	0	2
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Julian Bowie	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Boyd	G	30	6-12	3-5	5-8	1	3	0	0	20
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	34	3-7	1-2	0-0	9	0	0	0	7
BJ Davis	G	25	2-11	2-8	0-2	2	0	1	0	6
Miles Byrd	G	31	1-6	1-4	2-2	5	3	2	3	5
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	14	2-4	0-1	1-1	1	2	0	0	5
Pharaoh Compton	F	13	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	0	5
Taj DeGourville	G	20	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Miles Heide	F	33	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.6Possessions61.6

100.6Offensive Efficiency84.4

84.4Defensive Efficiency100.6

16.2Net Efficiency-16.2

43.8%Effective FG%45.7%

48.4%True Shooting %48.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate19.3%

30.4%Free Throw Rate31.9%

71.4%3-Point Rate44.7%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Boise State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 61.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.