Nevada

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Nevada

50.5%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -102

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNevada 74

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreColorado State 75

Team Comparison

NevadaMetricColorado State

59.8MMH Power Index55.4

112.4Offensive Efficiency117.1

105.7Defensive Efficiency109.9

6.7Net Efficiency7.2

3.7Strength of Schedule0.4

7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

67.7Tempo64.7

50.2%Effective FG%58.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate18.3%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

46.0%Free Throw Rate41.2%

4.5Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nevada HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNevada holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–55.4), defensive efficiency (105.7–109.9), strength of schedule (3.7–0.4), recent form (7.8–4.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–112.4), net efficiency (7.2–6.7), shooting efficiency (58.6–50.2).

Final

Nevada

59—67

Colorado State

Colorado State by 8 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NevadaTEAM STATColorado State

20-55FG23-51

36.0%FG%45.0%

5-263PT6-19

19.0%3PT%32.0%

14-17FT15-20

82.0%FT%75.0%

31Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds6

8Assists15

5Turnovers9

6Steals4

4Blocks1

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	38	7-19	2-7	7-7	7	3	1	0	23
Nick Davidson	F	38	8-16	2-6	4-4	6	0	0	1	22
Tyler Rolison	G	37	3-12	1-7	3-4	6	3	3	0	10
Xavier DuSell	Guard	32	1-6	0-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Brandon Love	Forward	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	2	2
Justin McBride	F	19	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Chuck Bailey III	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-2	2	0	1	1	0
Jeriah Coleman	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	37	8-14	1-4	8-8	14	4	2	1	25
Kyan Evans	G	35	3-12	3-6	2-2	4	2	0	0	11
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	19	3-3	1-1	3-5	2	0	0	0	10
Rashaan Mbemba	F	26	4-5	0-0	1-3	4	0	1	0	9
Keshawn Williams	G	8	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Ethan Morton	Guard	24	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	0	4
Jalen Lake	Guard	34	1-8	0-5	1-2	3	4	0	0	3
Nikola Djapa	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Bowen Born	Guard	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Kyle Jorgensen	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

93.9Offensive Efficiency106.7

106.7Defensive Efficiency93.9

-12.7Net Efficiency12.7

40.9%Effective FG%51.0%

46.8%True Shooting %55.4%

8.1%Turnover Rate14.2%

30.9%Free Throw Rate39.2%

47.3%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.60Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.