UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.3%UC Santa Barbara

58.7%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.3

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -142

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 78

Projected Total159.3

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 81

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricCal State Northridge

51.4MMH Power Index50

113.2Offensive Efficiency107.3

106.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

7.1Net Efficiency2.1

-2.0Strength of Schedule-0.6

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

68.5Tempo75.9

54.8%Effective FG%51.0%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.3%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

37.9%Free Throw Rate34.7%

4.8Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–50.0), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.3), net efficiency (7.1–2.1), shooting efficiency (54.8–51.0).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.2–106.1), strength of schedule (-0.6–-2.0), recent form (1.8–-1.7).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

78—72

Cal State Northridge

UC Santa Barbara by 6 • 74.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATCal State Northridge

23-61FG25-55

38.0%FG%45.0%

13-363PT4-15

36.0%3PT%27.0%

19-22FT18-20

86.0%FT%90.0%

27Rebounds42

8Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists12

12Turnovers21

12Steals6

4Blocks2

21Fouls22

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephan Swenson	Guard	36	9-23	7-17	0-0	2	4	4	0	25
Cole Anderson	Guard	31	5-11	5-8	1-1	0	1	4	0	16
Jason Fontenet II	G	22	2-8	0-3	7-8	5	5	2	0	11
Kenny Pohto	Forward	30	1-1	0-0	6-7	4	1	0	0	8
Colin Smith	F	24	3-7	1-4	1-2	3	0	0	0	8
Ben Shtolzberg	G	22	1-5	0-1	2-2	0	3	1	0	4
Max Murrell	Forward	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	2	2
Koat Keat Tong	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	2
Deuce Turner	G	9	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Zion Sensley	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keonte Jones	G	37	6-8	1-1	6-6	11	1	2	1	19
Mahmoud Fofana	F	30	4-5	0-0	9-10	8	2	2	0	17
Scotty Washington	G	33	6-16	1-5	1-2	7	1	0	0	14
PJ Fuller II	Guard	33	3-8	1-2	2-2	4	3	0	1	9
Tyler Beard	Guard	23	3-11	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	7
Grady Lewis	F	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	19	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	3	1	0	2
Jordan Brinson	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Judson Martindale	Forward	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.5Possessions74.5

104.7Offensive Efficiency96.6

96.6Defensive Efficiency104.7

8.1Net Efficiency-8.1

48.4%Effective FG%49.1%

54.6%True Shooting %55.8%

15.9%Turnover Rate28.6%

36.1%Free Throw Rate36.4%

59.0%3-Point Rate27.3%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 74.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.