UTSA

5-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.4%UTSA

88.6%East Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Carolina -13.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Carolina -777

East Carolina

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUTSA 69

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 82

Team Comparison

UTSAMetricEast Carolina

30.5MMH Power Index44.3

99.0Offensive Efficiency102.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency110.5

-16.0Net Efficiency-8.5

-1.2Strength of Schedule2.6

-17.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

70.2Tempo70.1

45.9%Effective FG%46.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.4%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

29.9%Free Throw Rate40.2%

-11.3Average Margin-5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.3–30.5), offensive efficiency (102.0–99.0), defensive efficiency (110.5–115.0), net efficiency (-8.5–-16.0).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHball security (17.0–17.4).

Final

UTSA

65—70

East Carolina

East Carolina by 5 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UTSATEAM STATEast Carolina

24-63FG24-63

38.0%FG%38.0%

8-203PT6-23

40.0%3PT%26.0%

9-18FT16-21

50.0%FT%76.0%

40Rebounds45

13Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists12

8Turnovers8

6Steals6

6Blocks4

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Millender	G	40	9-20	2-5	4-5	7	2	1	0	24
Primo Spears	Guard	39	8-20	1-4	2-4	3	4	2	0	19
Damari Monsanto	Guard	40	5-10	5-9	2-2	7	3	2	1	17
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	26	1-5	0-0	1-7	14	0	0	2	3
David Hermes	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Tai'Reon Joseph	G	27	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	2	0
Baboucarr Njie	F	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Riley	G	35	8-17	1-3	5-7	12	0	3	1	22
RJ Felton	Guard	31	6-16	2-8	3-4	2	3	1	0	17
Cam Hayes	Guard	38	5-13	2-6	4-4	6	4	0	0	16
C.J. Walker	Forward	32	2-7	0-2	4-6	10	1	1	0	8
Yann Farell	F	17	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Jayshayne Woodard	G	23	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	1	2
Trevion LaBeaux	G	20	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
Reid Cason	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tybo Bailey	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

97.3Offensive Efficiency104.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency97.3

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

44.4%Effective FG%42.9%

45.4%True Shooting %48.0%

12.0%Turnover Rate11.9%

28.6%Free Throw Rate33.3%

31.7%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

East Carolina won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.