Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Villanova

84.7%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -11.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -554

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 67

Projected Total146.1

Projected ScoreUConn 79

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricUConn

59.4MMH Power Index70.2

114.7Offensive Efficiency116.3

105.9Defensive Efficiency98.4

8.8Net Efficiency17.9

4.4Strength of Schedule6.3

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

67.3Tempo66.2

53.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

31.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

5.9Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–59.4), offensive efficiency (116.3–114.7), defensive efficiency (98.4–105.9), net efficiency (17.9–8.8).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHball security (15.0–16.4), free throw rate (31.4–30.7).

Final

Villanova

56—73

UConn

UConn by 17 • 59.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATUConn

15-47FG26-45

32.0%FG%58.0%

7-213PT8-20

33.0%3PT%40.0%

19-25FT13-15

76.0%FT%87.0%

22Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds3

5Assists17

7Turnovers10

6Steals4

1Blocks3

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wooga Poplar	Guard	37	10-15	3-5	2-3	4	1	1	0	25
Jordan Longino	Guard	35	2-6	2-4	4-6	1	1	0	0	10
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	35	1-6	1-4	5-6	0	2	1	0	8
Eric Dixon	Forward	34	2-15	1-7	3-3	2	1	1	1	8
Enoch Boakye	Forward	28	0-2	0-0	3-4	4	0	3	0	3
Tyler Perkins	G	28	0-2	0-0	2-3	6	0	0	0	2
Jordann Dumont	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Karaban	F	37	5-9	4-6	4-4	9	6	1	1	18
Liam McNeeley	Forward	32	4-8	1-3	3-4	7	0	0	0	12
Solo Ball	G	30	3-9	1-5	4-4	0	1	0	0	11
Samson Johnson	Center	22	5-5	0-0	1-1	1	1	1	1	11
Jaylin Stewart	F	20	3-6	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Aidan Mahaney	G	16	3-5	1-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	7
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	17	2-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	5
Hassan Diarra	Guard	22	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	5	1	0	2
Youssouf Singare	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Abraham	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jayden Ross	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ahmad Nowell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.0Possessions59.0

94.9Offensive Efficiency123.7

123.7Defensive Efficiency94.9

-28.8Net Efficiency28.8

39.4%Effective FG%66.7%

47.6%True Shooting %70.0%

11.9%Turnover Rate16.9%

53.2%Free Throw Rate33.3%

44.7%3-Point Rate44.4%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

UConn won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 59.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.