UNLV

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.5%UNLV

87.5%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -700

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNLV 72

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreUtah State 86

Team Comparison

UNLVMetricUtah State

52.8MMH Power Index65.7

111.0Offensive Efficiency119.7

109.6Defensive Efficiency103.1

1.4Net Efficiency16.6

2.7Strength of Schedule3.5

1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

71.4Tempo68.6

53.7%Effective FG%56.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

41.6%Free Throw Rate39.1%

1.0Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–52.8), offensive efficiency (119.7–111.0), defensive efficiency (103.1–109.6), net efficiency (16.6–1.4).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHrecent form (1.1–0.3), free throw rate (41.6–39.1).

Final

UNLV

58—70

Utah State

Utah State by 12 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNLVTEAM STATUtah State

13-55FG25-54

24.0%FG%46.0%

3-203PT8-25

15.0%3PT%32.0%

29-37FT12-17

78.0%FT%71.0%

37Rebounds41

19Offensive Rebounds14

7Assists12

8Turnovers13

9Steals4

3Blocks2

16Fouls27

Player Box Score

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Henley	G	40	4-15	0-6	11-12	5	3	5	0	19
Jalen Hill	Forward	40	2-9	0-1	9-11	7	1	0	0	13
Jailen Bedford	G	40	4-18	2-9	3-4	4	0	3	0	13
Isaiah Cottrell	F	20	1-5	1-4	2-2	5	0	0	0	5
Brooklyn Hicks	G	25	1-3	0-0	1-1	4	2	0	1	3
Jeremiah Cherry	F	22	0-3	0-0	3-7	6	1	1	1	3
Pape N'Diaye	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Martinez	Guard	25	6-12	3-8	2-4	6	0	0	0	17
Mason Falslev	G	37	6-11	0-2	3-4	9	6	2	0	15
Karson Templin	F	17	5-7	1-2	0-0	6	1	0	0	11
Tucker Anderson	F	16	3-5	3-5	0-0	2	0	0	1	9
Deyton Albury	G	25	1-4	0-1	5-6	3	2	0	0	7
Aubin Gateretse	Center	23	2-4	0-0	0-1	8	1	0	1	4
Drake Allen	G	23	1-4	0-1	2-2	1	2	2	0	4
Dexter Akanno	Guard	31	1-7	1-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Jordy Barnes	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Johnson	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

94.5Offensive Efficiency114.0

114.0Defensive Efficiency94.5

-19.5Net Efficiency19.5

26.4%Effective FG%53.7%

40.0%True Shooting %56.4%

13.0%Turnover Rate21.3%

67.3%Free Throw Rate31.5%

36.4%3-Point Rate46.3%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Utah State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.