Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.0%Cal Poly

48.0%UC Riverside

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Riverside -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -108

UC Riverside

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 81

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 82

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUC Riverside

46.5MMH Power Index41.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency103.1

111.0Defensive Efficiency110.1

-3.8Net Efficiency-7.0

1.7Strength of Schedule0.5

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

76.6Tempo70.7

52.2%Effective FG%49.8%

19.8%Turnover Rate18.5%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-2.9Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.1), net efficiency (-3.8–-7.0), strength of schedule (1.7–0.5).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.1–111.0), ball security (18.5–19.8).

Final

Cal Poly

96—83

UC Riverside

Cal Poly by 13 • 75.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUC Riverside

29-61FG29-64

48.0%FG%45.0%

18-353PT9-32

51.0%3PT%28.0%

20-24FT16-20

83.0%FT%80.0%

40Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds8

21Assists11

13Turnovers11

7Steals8

3Blocks2

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Koonce	Guard	24	5-10	3-4	7-8	5	1	1	2	20
Jarred Hyder	Guard	32	5-12	4-8	4-4	6	9	0	0	18
Peter Bandelj	G	36	5-8	5-6	2-4	4	3	0	0	17
Isaac Jessup	Guard	34	5-11	2-8	2-2	6	4	1	0	14
Cayden Ward	G	28	4-10	3-6	3-4	13	0	2	0	14
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	9	4-4	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	9
Mac Riniker	Guard	25	0-5	0-2	2-2	4	1	3	0	2
Luka Tarlac	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	1	2
Hayden Jory	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Moses	G	34	11-18	3-7	5-6	4	2	1	0	30
Barrington Hargress	G	34	9-16	1-6	2-4	1	5	2	0	21
Kaleb Smith	F	30	4-9	3-7	1-2	11	0	1	0	12
Niyi Olabode	Guard	24	2-6	2-5	2-2	1	0	1	2	8
Joel Armotrading	C	16	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Jack Whitbourn	C	14	0-1	0-0	4-4	5	1	0	0	4
Parker Strauss	G	11	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Nate Pickens	G	28	0-9	0-5	0-0	0	3	2	0	0
Rikus Schulte	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.0Possessions75.0

128.0Offensive Efficiency110.7

110.7Defensive Efficiency128.0

17.3Net Efficiency-17.3

62.3%Effective FG%52.3%

66.3%True Shooting %56.5%

17.7%Turnover Rate14.4%

39.3%Free Throw Rate31.3%

57.4%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.62Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 75.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.