Grambling

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Grambling

53.3%Alabama State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -114

Alabama State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrambling 73

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreAlabama State 74

Team Comparison

GramblingMetricAlabama State

41.4MMH Power Index38

100.7Offensive Efficiency101.7

100.4Defensive Efficiency107.4

0.3Net Efficiency-5.7

-5.7Strength of Schedule-6.2

-0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

69.9Tempo71.9

49.2%Effective FG%48.2%

20.9%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

42.2%Free Throw Rate35.8%

0.2Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grambling HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrambling holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.4–38.0), defensive efficiency (100.4–107.4), net efficiency (0.3–-5.7), strength of schedule (-5.7–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (101.7–100.7), recent form (0.0–-0.4), ball security (18.2–20.9).

Final

Grambling

62—64

Alabama State

Alabama State by 2 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GramblingTEAM STATAlabama State

20-55FG23-64

36.0%FG%36.0%

5-223PT7-25

23.0%3PT%28.0%

17-18FT11-14

94.0%FT%79.0%

36Rebounds42

8Offensive Rebounds15

8Assists16

9Turnovers8

6Steals6

5Blocks2

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Grambling

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kintavious Dozier	G	37	7-14	1-5	5-6	3	1	1	0	20
James Flippin	F	20	7-10	2-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	18
Mikale Stevenson	G	32	2-15	1-7	4-4	9	6	2	0	9
PJ Eason	F	28	2-3	0-0	4-4	8	0	0	5	8
Lou Hutchinson	G	16	1-5	0-3	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Antwan Burnett	G	29	1-7	1-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
P.J. Edwards	G	22	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Cbo Newton	G	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	0

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hines	G	32	7-16	1-6	0-1	2	5	0	0	15
Tyler Mack	G	8	4-4	4-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	12
TJ Madlock	Guard	34	2-12	1-2	4-5	10	4	0	1	9
JaSteven Walker	F	26	3-6	0-3	3-4	5	0	2	1	9
Amarr Knox	G	22	2-9	0-2	2-2	1	0	2	0	6
Micah Simpson	G	17	2-6	1-4	0-0	0	2	0	0	5
D'Ante Bass	Forward	14	1-4	0-0	2-2	8	0	0	0	4
Ubong Okon	C	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Micah Octave	G	25	0-5	0-4	0-0	9	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

96.6Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.7Defensive Efficiency96.6

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

40.9%Effective FG%41.4%

48.8%True Shooting %45.3%

13.9%Turnover Rate12.6%

32.7%Free Throw Rate21.9%

40.0%3-Point Rate39.1%

0.89Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.