Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.0%Middle Tennessee

59.0%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL145.3

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -144

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 71

Projected Total145.3

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 74

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricJacksonville State

52.5MMH Power Index51.2

109.6Offensive Efficiency108.2

105.7Defensive Efficiency101.8

3.9Net Efficiency6.4

0.4Strength of Schedule-2.3

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

68.8Tempo67.2

52.2%Effective FG%51.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

33.2%Free Throw Rate44.5%

2.7Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–51.2), offensive efficiency (109.6–108.2), strength of schedule (0.4–-2.3), recent form (3.2–-0.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–105.7), net efficiency (6.4–3.9), free throw rate (44.5–33.2).

Final

Middle Tennessee

68—70

Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State by 2 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATJacksonville State

24-53FG24-53

45.0%FG%45.0%

11-243PT7-18

46.0%3PT%39.0%

9-17FT15-20

53.0%FT%75.0%

27Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists10

9Turnovers11

6Steals4

1Blocks1

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jlynn Counter	G	32	7-15	2-5	2-4	8	4	2	0	18
Jestin Porter	G	35	5-13	3-5	0-0	2	2	1	0	13
Essam Mostafa	Forward	28	3-5	1-1	5-6	4	1	0	0	12
Kamari Lands	G	25	4-7	3-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	11
Justin Bufford	Guard	31	1-2	1-2	2-6	1	1	3	1	5
Camryn Weston	Guard	20	2-5	1-4	0-1	2	3	0	0	5
Chris Loofe	F	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Torey Alston	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Tre Green	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quel'Ron House	G	38	6-10	2-4	6-6	2	2	2	0	20
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	39	6-18	2-8	5-6	4	3	0	0	19
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	32	4-9	2-4	1-2	9	1	0	0	11
Michael Houge	F	26	3-8	0-1	2-2	6	3	0	0	8
Koree Cotton	G	23	2-3	1-1	1-2	2	0	1	0	6
Mason Nicholson	F	26	2-3	0-0	0-2	7	1	0	1	4
Iaroslav Niagu	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Jao Ituka	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

110.9Offensive Efficiency114.2

114.2Defensive Efficiency110.9

-3.3Net Efficiency3.3

55.7%Effective FG%51.9%

55.7%True Shooting %56.0%

14.5%Turnover Rate18.2%

32.1%Free Throw Rate37.7%

45.3%3-Point Rate34.0%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.