Saint Joseph's

24-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%Saint Joseph's

79.1%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL143.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -378

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Joseph's 68

Projected Total143.8

Projected ScoreDayton 76

Team Comparison

Saint Joseph'sMetricDayton

52.5MMH Power Index59.9

106.5Offensive Efficiency108.5

102.2Defensive Efficiency101.5

4.3Net Efficiency7.0

-0.2Strength of Schedule5.7

6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

68.7Tempo68.3

49.8%Effective FG%52.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

31.1%Free Throw Rate47.6%

2.9Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–52.5), offensive efficiency (108.5–106.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–102.2), net efficiency (7.0–4.3).

Saint Joseph's COUNTERS WITHrecent form (6.7–6.4), offensive rebounding (32.4–26.7).

Final

Saint Joseph's

73—68

Dayton

Saint Joseph's by 5 • 74.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Joseph'sTEAM STATDayton

22-63FG26-71

35.0%FG%37.0%

9-303PT9-28

30.0%3PT%32.0%

20-28FT7-11

71.0%FT%64.0%

46Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists14

8Turnovers9

7Steals4

10Blocks8

14Fouls20

Player Box Score

Saint Joseph's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Erik Reynolds II	Guard	39	7-23	3-12	4-6	7	1	0	0	21
Xzayvier Brown	G	43	5-17	2-6	8-8	7	2	1	0	20
Derek Simpson	G	27	3-4	3-3	2-3	4	1	1	0	11
Rasheer Fleming	Forward	37	1-7	0-4	4-4	10	0	1	2	6
Justice Ajogbor	C	29	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	7	6
Dasear Haskins	G	16	2-2	1-1	0-2	2	1	2	0	5
Anthony Finkley	F	34	1-6	0-4	2-5	7	2	2	1	4

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Bennett	G	39	6-14	3-7	0-0	3	2	0	0	15
Amaël L'Etang	F	29	5-14	2-6	3-3	6	2	0	4	15
Nate Santos	Forward	42	5-14	3-7	1-4	15	2	1	1	14
Malachi Smith	G	35	5-14	1-4	0-1	2	5	1	0	11
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	43	3-8	0-2	3-3	9	2	0	3	9
Zed Key	Forward	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Jacob Conner	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Posh Alexander	Guard	9	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jaiun Simon	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.8Possessions74.8

97.6Offensive Efficiency90.9

90.9Defensive Efficiency97.6

6.7Net Efficiency-6.7

42.1%Effective FG%43.0%

47.8%True Shooting %44.6%

10.9%Turnover Rate11.8%

44.4%Free Throw Rate15.5%

47.6%3-Point Rate39.4%

0.88Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Saint Joseph's won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 74.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.