Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.3%Boise State

72.7%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -266

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 73

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 81

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricNew Mexico

59.5MMH Power Index63.7

113.9Offensive Efficiency114.8

107.1Defensive Efficiency100.2

6.8Net Efficiency14.6

4.2Strength of Schedule2.0

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

68.6Tempo70.7

52.7%Effective FG%53.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

42.7%Free Throw Rate36.5%

4.7Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–59.5), offensive efficiency (114.8–113.9), defensive efficiency (100.2–107.1), net efficiency (14.6–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.2–2.0), offensive rebounding (33.8–30.5), free throw rate (42.7–36.5).

Final

Boise State

72—69

New Mexico

Boise State by 3 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATNew Mexico

23-52FG25-63

44.0%FG%40.0%

7-273PT6-18

26.0%3PT%33.0%

19-23FT13-18

83.0%FT%72.0%

38Rebounds31

11Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists14

12Turnovers6

4Steals7

4Blocks2

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	37	8-14	2-7	4-6	4	1	1	0	22
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	25	5-7	2-3	5-5	5	0	1	3	17
Andrew Meadow	F	36	4-12	2-9	6-6	5	0	1	0	16
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	39	2-7	0-3	2-2	1	12	1	0	6
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	11	2-5	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	6
RJ Keene II	G	29	1-1	1-1	0-2	10	1	0	0	3
Pearson Carmichael	F	17	1-5	0-4	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Javan Buchanan	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Julian Bowie	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Dent	G	38	8-17	3-4	4-5	2	5	0	0	23
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	36	7-11	0-0	5-7	8	2	2	1	19
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	35	4-13	2-5	0-0	6	2	1	0	10
Tru Washington	G	32	3-9	0-2	4-6	5	3	1	0	10
Atiki Ally Atiki	Forward	4	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Filip Borovicanin	F	31	1-6	1-4	0-0	3	1	2	0	3
Braden Appelhans	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
CJ Noland	Guard	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jovan Milicevic	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Kayde Dotson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

112.9Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency112.9

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

51.0%Effective FG%44.4%

57.2%True Shooting %48.2%

18.8%Turnover Rate9.4%

44.2%Free Throw Rate28.6%

51.9%3-Point Rate28.6%

1.25Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Boise State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.