California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%California Baptist

66.3%Grand Canyon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL142.4

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -197

Grand Canyon

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 68

Projected Total142.4

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 74

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricGrand Canyon

58.3MMH Power Index59.8

106.5Offensive Efficiency109.2

99.0Defensive Efficiency99.1

7.5Net Efficiency10.1

1.8Strength of Schedule2.0

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.7

68.2Tempo69.3

48.8%Effective FG%52.1%

17.9%Turnover Rate17.6%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %31.2%

37.0%Free Throw Rate41.0%

5.1Average Margin7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grand Canyon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrand Canyon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–58.3), offensive efficiency (109.2–106.5), net efficiency (10.1–7.5), strength of schedule (2.0–1.8).

California Baptist COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.0–99.1), recent form (11.0–9.7), offensive rebounding (37.0–31.2).

Final

California Baptist

66—75

Grand Canyon

Grand Canyon by 9 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATGrand Canyon

23-58FG26-54

40.0%FG%48.0%

7-183PT4-15

39.0%3PT%27.0%

13-16FT19-23

81.0%FT%83.0%

31Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists8

13Turnovers12

5Steals8

3Blocks3

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	37	6-19	1-6	5-6	1	2	1	0	18
Tylen Riley	G	32	5-12	1-2	3-4	1	2	3	0	14
Javonte Johnson	Guard	25	4-5	3-4	1-1	3	0	0	0	12
Kendal Coleman	Forward	31	4-11	0-4	3-4	11	2	0	0	11
Sam Silverstein	G	33	3-5	2-2	0-0	8	1	1	3	8
Bradey Henige	F	9	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Adam Moussa	Guard	22	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	0
Martel Williams	G	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaKobe Coles	Forward	35	7-13	2-3	6-7	3	1	1	2	22
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	26	7-12	1-3	3-4	3	2	0	0	18
Ray Harrison	Guard	34	5-9	0-2	4-4	1	2	0	0	14
Lok Wur	Forward	19	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	2	1	5
Duke Brennan	F	26	0-3	0-0	4-6	6	1	2	0	4
Collin Moore	Guard	21	1-3	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	0	4
Caleb Shaw	G	21	2-5	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Makaih Williams	G	18	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

98.1Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency98.1

-13.4Net Efficiency13.4

45.7%Effective FG%51.9%

50.3%True Shooting %57.8%

19.2%Turnover Rate17.9%

27.6%Free Throw Rate42.6%

31.0%3-Point Rate27.8%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.