Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.4%Utah State

34.6%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -189

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 78

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreColorado State 74

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricColorado State

65.7MMH Power Index55.4

119.7Offensive Efficiency117.1

103.1Defensive Efficiency109.9

16.6Net Efficiency7.2

3.5Strength of Schedule0.4

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

68.6Tempo64.7

56.9%Effective FG%58.6%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.3%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate41.2%

11.4Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–55.4), offensive efficiency (119.7–117.1), defensive efficiency (103.1–109.9), net efficiency (16.6–7.2).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (4.3–0.3), shooting efficiency (58.6–56.9), free throw rate (41.2–39.1).

Final

Utah State

72—83

Colorado State

Colorado State by 11 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATColorado State

23-63FG25-42

37.0%FG%60.0%

7-333PT10-18

21.0%3PT%56.0%

19-30FT23-37

63.0%FT%62.0%

39Rebounds34

20Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists14

10Turnovers14

9Steals3

—Blocks3

29Fouls23

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Mason Falslev	G	35	9-19	3-10	1-3	7	1	4	22
Ian Martinez	Guard	35	3-12	3-9	4-5	6	4	1	13
Karson Templin	F	21	4-7	0-1	3-6	9	1	1	11
Deyton Albury	G	21	3-8	0-3	3-4	2	2	1	9
Aubin Gateretse	Center	13	2-2	0-0	3-6	5	0	0	7
Isaac Davis	F	12	0-1	0-1	4-4	2	2	0	4
Jordy Barnes	G	16	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	3
Isaac Johnson	C	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	2
Drake Allen	G	13	0-4	0-2	1-2	1	2	0	1
Dexter Akanno	Guard	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0
Tucker Anderson	F	14	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	35	7-13	3-4	9-13	11	6	1	0	26
Jalen Lake	Guard	36	5-8	2-4	2-3	2	2	0	0	14
Kyan Evans	G	34	4-6	4-5	2-3	2	3	1	0	14
Ethan Morton	Guard	18	2-2	0-0	3-6	2	1	1	0	7
Nikola Djapa	C	14	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Rashaan Mbemba	F	17	1-2	0-0	3-7	2	1	0	0	5
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	26	1-5	1-4	1-2	5	0	0	3	4
Keshawn Williams	G	6	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Bowen Born	Guard	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Kyle Jorgensen	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

107.6Offensive Efficiency124.1

124.1Defensive Efficiency107.6

-16.4Net Efficiency16.4

42.1%Effective FG%71.4%

46.6%True Shooting %69.7%

14.9%Turnover Rate21.0%

47.6%Free Throw Rate88.1%

52.4%3-Point Rate42.9%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.