Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Boise State

51.3%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -105

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 75

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreColorado State 76

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricColorado State

59.5MMH Power Index55.4

113.9Offensive Efficiency117.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency109.9

6.8Net Efficiency7.2

4.2Strength of Schedule0.4

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

68.6Tempo64.7

52.7%Effective FG%58.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.3%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

42.7%Free Throw Rate41.2%

4.7Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–55.4), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.9), strength of schedule (4.2–0.4), recent form (5.2–4.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–113.9), net efficiency (7.2–6.8), shooting efficiency (58.6–52.7).

Final

Boise State

56—69

Colorado State

Colorado State by 13 • 60.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATColorado State

19-49FG22-51

39.0%FG%43.0%

8-273PT12-24

30.0%3PT%50.0%

10-14FT13-19

71.0%FT%68.0%

33Rebounds29

9Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists14

13Turnovers8

4Steals2

2Blocks—

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	36	7-12	3-5	5-6	7	2	0	1	22
Julian Bowie	G	17	3-6	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
RJ Keene II	G	26	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	1	6
Andrew Meadow	F	29	2-3	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	0	5
Pearson Carmichael	F	17	2-7	1-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	5
Javan Buchanan	F	7	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	34	1-8	0-5	1-2	0	8	1	0	3
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	23	0-2	0-1	2-2	8	1	0	0	2
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	11	0-4	0-1	1-2	2	0	2	0	1

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	36	7-17	3-8	7-8	6	3	0	24
Ethan Morton	Guard	22	4-5	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	11
Bowen Born	Guard	13	3-4	3-4	0-0	2	1	0	9
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	23	3-9	2-4	0-1	3	2	0	8
Keshawn Williams	G	12	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	6
Jalen Lake	Guard	28	2-7	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	5
Kyan Evans	G	31	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	4	1	3
Nikola Djapa	C	10	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	1	1	2
Rashaan Mbemba	F	25	0-1	0-0	1-4	5	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

60.4Possessions60.4

92.7Offensive Efficiency114.2

114.2Defensive Efficiency92.7

-21.5Net Efficiency21.5

46.9%Effective FG%54.9%

50.3%True Shooting %57.5%

21.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

28.6%Free Throw Rate37.3%

55.1%3-Point Rate47.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 60.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.