Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.5%Alabama State

42.5%Jackson State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL154.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -135

Jackson State

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 79

Projected Total154.7

Projected ScoreJackson State 76

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricJackson State

38MMH Power Index30.7

101.7Offensive Efficiency98.1

107.4Defensive Efficiency117.0

-5.7Net Efficiency-18.9

-6.2Strength of Schedule-0.7

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.3

71.9Tempo71.6

48.2%Effective FG%45.8%

18.2%Turnover Rate19.4%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

35.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-4.1Average Margin-13.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.0–30.7), offensive efficiency (101.7–98.1), defensive efficiency (107.4–117.0), net efficiency (-5.7–-18.9).

Jackson State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.7–-6.2), free throw rate (37.9–35.8).

Final

Alabama State

60—56

Jackson State

Alabama State by 4 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATJackson State

22-65FG20-54

34.0%FG%37.0%

9-293PT5-17

31.0%3PT%29.0%

7-11FT11-15

64.0%FT%73.0%

36Rebounds44

13Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists12

6Turnovers14

10Steals3

4Blocks5

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hines	G	33	8-15	4-6	0-1	3	2	3	1	20
Amarr Knox	G	30	3-15	1-5	0-0	0	3	0	0	7
TJ Madlock	Guard	29	2-8	0-1	3-6	12	3	3	2	7
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	12	2-3	1-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	7
D'Ante Bass	Forward	15	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
JaSteven Walker	F	24	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	3	0	1	5
Micah Octave	G	25	2-6	0-3	0-0	4	0	2	0	4
Ubong Okon	C	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Micah Simpson	G	7	0-2	0-2	2-2	0	1	1	0	2
Tyler Mack	G	9	0-4	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Jackson State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shannon Grant	Center	39	8-12	0-0	4-5	9	1	0	3	20
Daeshun Ruffin	G	40	4-16	0-5	1-1	3	2	0	0	9
Dorian McMillian	G	29	2-7	1-5	4-4	7	0	1	2	9
Jayme Mitchell Jr.	G	12	3-5	3-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	9
Keiveon Hunt	G	33	2-9	1-3	0-0	6	1	1	0	5
Romelle Mansel	Forward	40	1-5	0-0	2-5	8	6	1	0	4
Juan Reyna	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Tamarion Hoover	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

94.2Offensive Efficiency87.9

87.9Defensive Efficiency94.2

6.3Net Efficiency-6.3

40.8%Effective FG%41.7%

42.7%True Shooting %45.8%

9.5%Turnover Rate21.8%

16.9%Free Throw Rate27.8%

44.6%3-Point Rate31.5%

2.17Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.