Incarnate Word

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Incarnate Word

59.8%Jacksonville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville -149

Jacksonville

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 73

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScoreJacksonville 76

Team Comparison

Incarnate WordMetricJacksonville

44.6MMH Power Index43.6

112.0Offensive Efficiency109.8

111.2Defensive Efficiency110.3

0.8Net Efficiency-0.5

-3.6Strength of Schedule-4.8

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2

66.3Tempo66.6

52.2%Effective FG%51.7%

16.8%Turnover Rate16.9%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

34.0%Free Throw Rate33.9%

0.5Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–43.6), offensive efficiency (112.0–109.8), net efficiency (0.8–-0.5), strength of schedule (-3.6–-4.8).

Jacksonville COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–111.2), recent form (-3.2–-8.5).

Final

Incarnate Word

87—71

Jacksonville

Incarnate Word by 16 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Incarnate WordTEAM STATJacksonville

31-57FG27-56

54.0%FG%48.0%

8-203PT6-19

40.0%3PT%32.0%

17-28FT11-22

61.0%FT%50.0%

29Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds15

13Assists18

11Turnovers18

15Steals7

3Blocks1

20Fouls22

Player Box Score

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Bailey	G	40	5-13	4-10	9-13	4	4	2	0	23
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	40	10-15	0-2	2-6	5	5	5	0	22
Jordan Pyke	F	33	8-11	1-2	4-7	6	1	2	1	21
Dylan Hayman	Forward	34	4-13	3-5	2-2	4	1	1	0	13
Jayden Williams	C	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Marcus Glover	F	31	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	4	1	2
Ryan Van Eyck	Guard	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Mintautas Mockus	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Amani Drummond	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kendall Munson	Forward	28	8-10	0-1	3-7	8	0	2	0	19
Jakari Spence	Guard	31	5-9	1-2	3-5	5	10	2	0	14
Stephon Payne	F	21	4-7	0-0	3-4	6	1	0	0	11
Chris Arias	G	29	3-9	2-6	1-3	2	1	1	0	9
Zach Bell	G	22	3-4	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	7
Kent Jackson	G	16	2-5	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Robert McCray V	G	23	1-8	0-2	1-3	3	3	1	0	3
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Donovan Rivers	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Tito Deng	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

124.5Offensive Efficiency101.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency124.5

22.9Net Efficiency-22.9

61.4%Effective FG%53.6%

61.9%True Shooting %53.4%

15.6%Turnover Rate25.9%

49.1%Free Throw Rate39.3%

35.1%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Incarnate Word won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.