Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.0%Illinois State

20.0%Cleveland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL157.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -400

Cleveland State

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 83

Projected Total157.3

Projected ScoreCleveland State 74

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricCleveland State

54.3MMH Power Index37.3

110.6Offensive Efficiency111.6

101.4Defensive Efficiency120.2

9.2Net Efficiency-8.6

1.0Strength of Schedule-1.7

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.6

67.5Tempo71.5

54.3%Effective FG%55.0%

16.8%Turnover Rate18.0%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

32.0%Free Throw Rate38.7%

6.2Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–37.3), defensive efficiency (101.4–120.2), net efficiency (9.2–-8.6), strength of schedule (1.0–-1.7).

Cleveland State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.6–110.6), shooting efficiency (55.0–54.3), offensive rebounding (28.6–28.3).

Final

Illinois State

79—68

Cleveland State

Illinois State by 11 • 62.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATCleveland State

26-47FG25-60

55.0%FG%42.0%

11-213PT5-20

52.0%3PT%25.0%

16-23FT13-19

70.0%FT%68.0%

32Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists6

9Turnovers7

4Steals4

4Blocks3

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caden Boser	Forward	19	7-7	4-4	2-2	1	2	0	1	20
Johnny Kinziger	G	27	4-11	1-4	4-4	7	3	1	0	13
Chase Walker	F	20	4-6	0-1	5-9	6	1	0	2	13
Dalton Banks	Guard	37	3-6	0-1	5-8	4	5	1	0	11
Ty Pence	G	29	4-7	3-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	11
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	23	2-6	2-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Jordan Davis	Guard	33	2-3	1-1	0-0	4	0	1	1	5
Landon Wolf	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cade Norris	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cleveland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tevin Smith	Guard	30	5-10	1-2	5-8	4	1	0	0	16
Je'Shawn Stevenson	G	28	5-13	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	11
Chase Robinson	Guard	23	4-7	0-2	3-3	2	2	2	0	11
Tahj Staveskie	G	27	4-10	2-6	0-0	0	2	0	0	10
Isaac Abidde	F	26	3-6	1-4	3-3	3	0	0	1	10
Dylan Arnett	F	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Reece Robinson	F	15	1-2	0-1	1-3	5	0	1	1	3
Ebrima Dibba	Guard	18	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Cole Franklin	G	15	0-4	0-1	1-2	5	0	1	1	1
Chaz Watson	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.5Possessions62.5

126.4Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency126.4

17.6Net Efficiency-17.6

67.0%Effective FG%45.8%

68.2%True Shooting %49.3%

14.8%Turnover Rate10.9%

48.9%Free Throw Rate31.7%

44.7%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.56Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 62.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.