Oregon State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.7%Oregon State

81.3%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -435

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon State 72

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreUCF 83

Team Comparison

Oregon StateMetricUCF

48.5MMH Power Index57.1

105.8Offensive Efficiency113.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency110.0

-4.5Net Efficiency3.3

4.5Strength of Schedule6.6

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

67.2Tempo71.2

50.6%Effective FG%53.0%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

26.4%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

43.9%Free Throw Rate31.1%

-3.0Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–48.5), offensive efficiency (113.3–105.8), defensive efficiency (110.0–110.3), net efficiency (3.3–-4.5).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (0.0–-3.8), free throw rate (43.9–31.1).

Final

Oregon State

75—76

UCF

UCF by 1 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Oregon StateTEAM STATUCF

28-59FG28-67

47.0%FG%42.0%

4-193PT10-26

21.0%3PT%38.0%

15-19FT10-14

79.0%FT%71.0%

42Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists18

13Turnovers7

5Steals8

1Blocks5

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	35	9-12	1-3	1-2	2	2	0	0	20
Maxim Logue	F	24	6-8	0-0	6-7	10	0	0	0	18
Damarco Minor	G	35	6-14	1-5	3-4	8	2	1	0	16
Isaiah Sy	F	30	5-10	2-6	0-0	6	0	2	0	12
Josiah Lake II	G	34	2-9	0-3	0-1	8	6	1	1	4
Ja'Quavis Williford	G	21	0-4	0-2	3-3	1	0	0	0	3
Johan Munch	F	16	0-2	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	0	2
Thomas Ndong	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Johnson	Guard	33	4-16	2-8	5-6	4	3	2	0	15
Tyler Hendricks	G	32	6-8	3-5	0-0	10	1	2	1	15
Nils Machowski	G	26	5-9	3-5	2-2	0	0	0	1	15
Moustapha Thiam	C	32	4-14	0-2	2-4	9	2	1	3	10
Dior Johnson	G	18	4-6	0-0	0-0	0	4	1	0	8
Dallan Coleman	Guard	19	2-4	1-2	1-2	5	3	0	0	6
Benny Williams	Forward	14	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	3	0	0	4
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	26	1-7	1-3	0-0	5	2	2	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

108.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency108.9

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

50.8%Effective FG%49.3%

55.1%True Shooting %51.6%

18.8%Turnover Rate10.2%

32.2%Free Throw Rate20.9%

32.2%3-Point Rate38.8%

0.85Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

UCF won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.