Butler

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Butler

78.0%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -8.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -355

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreButler 74

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreBoise State 83

Team Comparison

ButlerMetricBoise State

52.7MMH Power Index59.5

111.7Offensive Efficiency113.9

109.1Defensive Efficiency107.1

2.6Net Efficiency6.8

3.1Strength of Schedule4.2

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

71.1Tempo68.6

51.2%Effective FG%52.7%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate42.7%

1.8Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–52.7), offensive efficiency (113.9–111.7), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.1), net efficiency (6.8–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHball security (15.9–17.0), offensive rebounding (34.4–33.8), free throw rate (42.9–42.7).

Final

Butler

93—100

Boise State

Boise State by 7 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ButlerTEAM STATBoise State

34-59FG35-58

58.0%FG%60.0%

13-313PT11-24

42.0%3PT%46.0%

12-16FT19-25

75.0%FT%76.0%

25Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists16

10Turnovers7

3Steals6

1Blocks2

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Finley Bizjack	G	39	8-12	6-9	8-8	1	7	0	0	30
Evan Haywood	G	25	6-10	2-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	14
Boden Kapke	F	24	6-9	1-4	1-3	5	1	0	0	14
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	28	5-10	3-5	0-0	1	2	0	0	13
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	31	4-8	1-5	0-0	5	1	0	0	9
Landon Moore	G	16	2-2	0-0	2-2	0	2	1	0	6
Kolby King	G	21	2-6	0-2	1-1	2	1	1	0	5
Andre Screen	Center	16	1-2	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	1	2

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javan Buchanan	F	25	11-13	1-2	4-6	3	1	3	0	27
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	34	8-13	3-6	2-2	7	5	0	0	21
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	32	6-10	2-3	5-6	1	4	1	0	19
Andrew Meadow	F	28	4-6	1-2	5-7	3	1	1	0	14
RJ Keene II	G	26	2-4	1-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	6
Pearson Carmichael	F	19	2-4	2-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Julian Bowie	G	15	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	3	0	0	5
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	11	0-3	0-1	2-2	2	0	1	1	2
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

131.4Offensive Efficiency141.2

141.2Defensive Efficiency131.4

-9.9Net Efficiency9.9

68.6%Effective FG%69.8%

69.8%True Shooting %71.6%

14.0%Turnover Rate10.0%

27.1%Free Throw Rate43.1%

52.5%3-Point Rate41.4%

1.40Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Boise State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.