UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%UCF

73.1%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -272

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 72

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreCincinnati 80

Team Comparison

UCFMetricCincinnati

57.1MMH Power Index61.5

113.3Offensive Efficiency105.3

110.0Defensive Efficiency97.3

3.3Net Efficiency8.0

6.6Strength of Schedule5.1

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

71.2Tempo69.4

53.0%Effective FG%50.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate17.0%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

31.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

2.4Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.3–105.3), strength of schedule (6.6–5.1), shooting efficiency (53.0–50.6), ball security (16.0–17.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (61.5–57.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–110.0), net efficiency (8.0–3.3).

Final

UCF

88—80

Cincinnati

UCF by 8 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATCincinnati

31-66FG30-70

47.0%FG%43.0%

10-303PT12-34

33.0%3PT%35.0%

16-19FT8-14

84.0%FT%57.0%

38Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists17

8Turnovers11

6Steals7

2Blocks—

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Johnson	Guard	37	11-23	5-13	4-5	4	7	2	0	31
Tyler Hendricks	G	34	3-5	1-1	7-8	4	0	0	0	14
Moustapha Thiam	C	30	6-9	1-3	0-0	5	0	1	2	13
Nils Machowski	G	20	4-7	3-5	0-0	5	1	0	0	11
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	26	1-8	0-4	5-6	3	1	1	0	7
Benny Williams	Forward	21	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	6
Dior Johnson	G	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Dallan Coleman	Guard	23	1-6	0-4	0-0	6	2	2	0	2

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Day Day Thomas	G	29	7-14	5-9	0-0	4	2	2	19
Dillon Mitchell	F	32	8-14	1-1	0-1	12	6	1	17
Simas Lukosius	Guard	25	3-8	3-8	2-2	5	2	0	11
Jizzle James	G	26	4-14	0-6	2-2	1	0	0	10
Rayvon Griffith	F	10	2-3	1-2	3-6	3	0	0	8
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	21	3-7	0-1	0-1	3	3	3	6
Josh Reed	F	19	2-8	2-7	0-0	2	0	0	6
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	28	1-1	0-0	1-2	5	4	0	3
Halvine Dzellat	C	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0
Tyler Betsey	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

118.3Offensive Efficiency107.5

107.5Defensive Efficiency118.3

10.8Net Efficiency-10.8

54.5%Effective FG%51.4%

58.6%True Shooting %52.2%

10.8%Turnover Rate14.7%

28.8%Free Throw Rate20.0%

45.5%3-Point Rate48.6%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

UCF won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.