Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.4%Villanova

32.6%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -207

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 79

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScoreUSC 76

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricUSC

59.4MMH Power Index48.3

114.7Offensive Efficiency108.5

105.9Defensive Efficiency107.6

8.8Net Efficiency0.9

4.4Strength of Schedule2.5

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

67.3Tempo72.4

53.9%Effective FG%50.7%

15.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

31.4%Free Throw Rate45.3%

5.9Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–48.3), offensive efficiency (114.7–108.5), defensive efficiency (105.9–107.6), net efficiency (8.8–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–31.8), free throw rate (45.3–31.4).

Final

Villanova

60—59

USC

Villanova by 1 • 61.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATUSC

22-58FG25-59

38.0%FG%42.0%

9-253PT5-24

36.0%3PT%21.0%

7-11FT4-7

64.0%FT%57.0%

39Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists10

9Turnovers9

4Steals4

2Blocks2

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	38	10-24	5-11	3-7	4	0	0	1	28
Wooga Poplar	Guard	35	5-16	2-7	4-4	7	2	0	1	16
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	30	4-7	2-2	0-0	3	3	3	0	10
Enoch Boakye	Forward	36	3-3	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	0	6
Jordan Longino	Guard	35	0-6	0-3	0-0	5	4	0	0	0
Tyler Perkins	G	23	0-1	0-1	0-0	8	0	0	0	0
Kris Parker	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Saint Thomas	Forward	39	10-15	3-7	0-0	13	3	1	1	23
Rashaun Agee	F	40	9-18	0-6	4-7	7	2	2	0	22
Desmond Claude	G	40	4-14	2-6	0-0	3	3	1	0	10
Jalen Shelley	F	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Josh Cohen	Forward	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Matt Knowling	Forward	32	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	0
Clark Slajchert	Guard	20	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Bryce Pope	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.8Possessions61.8

97.1Offensive Efficiency95.5

95.5Defensive Efficiency97.1

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

45.7%Effective FG%46.6%

47.4%True Shooting %47.3%

14.7%Turnover Rate14.4%

19.0%Free Throw Rate11.9%

43.1%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Villanova won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 61.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.