Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.7%Boise State

79.3%Nebraska

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNebraska -10.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINENebraska -383

Nebraska

28-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 69

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreNebraska 79

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricNebraska

59.5MMH Power Index67

113.9Offensive Efficiency114.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency98.3

6.8Net Efficiency16.1

4.2Strength of Schedule6.1

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

68.6Tempo67.3

52.7%Effective FG%55.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.4%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

42.7%Free Throw Rate26.9%

4.7Average Margin10.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nebraska HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNebraska holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.0–59.5), offensive efficiency (114.4–113.9), defensive efficiency (98.3–107.1), net efficiency (16.1–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.8–26.3), free throw rate (42.7–26.9).

Final

Boise State

69—79

Nebraska

Nebraska by 10 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATNebraska

25-63FG26-56

40.0%FG%46.0%

9-273PT12-19

33.0%3PT%63.0%

10-11FT15-18

91.0%FT%83.0%

31Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists18

9Turnovers11

6Steals3

2Blocks4

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	35	9-17	4-9	4-5	8	2	2	0	26
Andrew Meadow	F	29	5-11	2-3	2-2	3	1	1	1	14
Pearson Carmichael	F	27	5-12	3-8	0-0	1	1	2	0	13
Javan Buchanan	F	20	2-7	0-1	4-4	6	0	0	0	8
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	36	2-8	0-3	0-0	1	9	1	1	4
RJ Keene II	G	19	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Julian Bowie	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	15	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Nebraska

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Juwan Gary	Forward	38	7-12	4-4	3-3	9	0	0	3	21
Brice Williams	Guard	38	4-8	1-2	5-6	5	6	0	0	14
Sam Hoiberg	G	26	3-6	2-4	2-3	1	1	1	0	10
Connor Essegian	G	20	2-5	1-3	3-4	2	2	0	0	8
Ahron Ulis	Guard	19	2-7	2-3	2-2	5	2	0	0	8
Andrew Morgan	Forward	23	3-8	0-0	0-0	4	2	2	0	6
Cale Jacobsen	G	21	2-3	2-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	6
Braxton Meah	Center	4	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Berke Buyuktuncel	F	11	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

105.5Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency105.5

-15.3Net Efficiency15.3

46.8%Effective FG%57.1%

50.6%True Shooting %61.2%

13.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

17.5%Free Throw Rate32.1%

42.9%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Nebraska won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.