UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.7%UCF

68.3%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -215

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 75

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreVillanova 81

Team Comparison

UCFMetricVillanova

57.1MMH Power Index59.4

113.3Offensive Efficiency114.7

110.0Defensive Efficiency105.9

3.3Net Efficiency8.8

6.6Strength of Schedule4.4

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

71.2Tempo67.3

53.0%Effective FG%53.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

31.1%Free Throw Rate31.4%

2.4Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–57.1), offensive efficiency (114.7–113.3), defensive efficiency (105.9–110.0), net efficiency (8.8–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.6–4.4), offensive rebounding (34.3–31.8).

Final

UCF

104—98

Villanova

UCF by 6 • 78.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATVillanova

30-63FG29-72

48.0%FG%40.0%

15-353PT8-31

43.0%3PT%26.0%

29-40FT32-37

73.0%FT%86.0%

41Rebounds44

12Offensive Rebounds17

14Assists12

7Turnovers7

2Steals4

3Blocks3

24Fouls27

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Johnson	Guard	42	11-19	3-7	17-20	5	7	0	0	42
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	30	5-12	4-6	4-4	7	1	1	0	18
Dallan Coleman	Guard	42	3-7	3-6	4-6	3	1	1	0	13
Dior Johnson	G	22	5-7	3-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	13
Tyler Hendricks	G	29	4-8	2-5	2-4	8	2	0	0	12
Moustapha Thiam	C	36	2-5	0-2	2-4	5	0	0	2	6
Nils Machowski	G	16	0-4	0-4	0-0	4	2	0	0	0
Benny Williams	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	0-2	1	1	0	1	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wooga Poplar	Guard	41	9-22	3-5	11-11	11	3	1	0	32
Eric Dixon	Forward	42	9-24	1-11	10-12	7	1	1	0	29
Tyler Perkins	G	29	6-12	4-10	2-2	6	1	1	0	18
Enoch Boakye	Forward	38	4-4	0-0	3-4	11	1	0	0	11
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	34	1-2	0-1	3-4	3	3	0	1	5
Jordan Longino	Guard	32	0-7	0-3	3-4	2	3	1	2	3
Jordann Dumont	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kris Parker	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.3Possessions78.3

132.8Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency132.8

7.7Net Efficiency-7.7

59.5%Effective FG%45.8%

63.4%True Shooting %54.7%

9.1%Turnover Rate8.8%

63.5%Free Throw Rate51.4%

55.6%3-Point Rate43.1%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

UCF won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 78.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.