Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.8%Gonzaga

27.2%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -268

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 79

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreUCLA 72

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricUCLA

76.4MMH Power Index63

119.7Offensive Efficiency115.9

94.0Defensive Efficiency106.9

25.7Net Efficiency9.0

3.0Strength of Schedule5.1

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

70.4Tempo66.5

55.7%Effective FG%53.5%

13.6%Turnover Rate13.4%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

31.5%Free Throw Rate33.8%

18.1Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–63.0), offensive efficiency (119.7–115.9), defensive efficiency (94.0–106.9), net efficiency (25.7–9.0).

UCLA COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–3.0), ball security (13.4–13.6), free throw rate (33.8–31.5).

Final

Gonzaga

69—65

UCLA

Gonzaga by 4 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATUCLA

23-53FG19-54

43.4%FG%35.2%

6-163PT4-14

37.5%3PT%28.6%

17-29FT23-31

58.6%FT%74.2%

37Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists9

12Turnovers10

3Steals5

4Blocks3

25Fouls26

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anton Watson	Forward	30	14-15	3-3	1-4	7	2	2	1	32
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	40	3-12	0-2	6-6	3	4	0	0	12
Nolan Hickman	Guard	40	4-9	2-4	1-2	0	2	0	1	11
Junseok Yeo	F	8	1-2	1-2	2-4	1	0	0	0	5
Ben Gregg	Forward	17	1-3	0-2	2-5	8	0	0	2	4
Graham Ike	F	18	0-6	0-0	3-4	5	2	0	0	3
Dusty Stromer	G	40	0-5	0-3	2-2	8	0	1	0	2
Braden Huff	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-2	2	1	0	0	0

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lazar Stefanovic	Guard	40	5-11	2-5	4-4	8	1	3	0	16
Sebastian Mack	G	36	4-10	1-3	7-9	7	2	1	0	16
Adem Bona	Center	22	5-8	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	11
Ilane Fibleuil	Guard	18	2-3	0-1	2-3	8	0	1	2	6
Berke Buyuktuncel	C	11	1-3	1-1	3-4	2	0	0	0	6
Dylan Andrews	G	38	2-15	0-3	1-1	0	4	0	1	5
Kenneth Nwuba	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	3-4	1	2	0	0	3
Will McClendon	G	9	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Brandon Williams	F	7	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Aday Mara	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Devin Williams	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

105.7Offensive Efficiency99.5

99.5Defensive Efficiency105.7

6.1Net Efficiency-6.1

49.1%Effective FG%38.9%

51.7%True Shooting %47.3%

18.2%Turnover Rate15.4%

54.7%Free Throw Rate57.4%

30.2%3-Point Rate25.9%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.