Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.3%Michigan State

83.7%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.6

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -513

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 71

Projected Total153.6

Projected ScoreArizona 83

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricArizona

69.8MMH Power Index79.9

117.0Offensive Efficiency120.3

101.5Defensive Efficiency96.9

15.5Net Efficiency23.4

7.2Strength of Schedule8.0

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

67.3Tempo71.6

54.1%Effective FG%55.0%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

36.6%Free Throw Rate45.3%

10.5Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–69.8), offensive efficiency (120.3–117.0), defensive efficiency (96.9–101.5), net efficiency (23.4–15.5).

Final

Michigan State

68—74

Arizona

Arizona by 6 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATArizona

26-64FG27-59

40.6%FG%45.8%

5-173PT5-19

29.4%3PT%26.3%

11-14FT15-20

78.6%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds39

11Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists13

9Turnovers10

6Steals8

2Blocks5

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	34	8-20	2-6	0-2	4	4	0	0	18
AJ Hoggard	Guard	21	5-14	0-2	5-5	1	2	1	0	15
Jaden Akins	Guard	29	5-10	2-5	0-0	2	0	1	0	12
Malik Hall	Forward	31	3-7	1-4	1-1	5	1	0	0	8
Coen Carr	F	19	2-4	0-0	3-4	3	0	3	1	7
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	4
Mady Sissoko	Center	21	0-1	0-0	2-2	10	0	0	1	2
Carson Cooper	C	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Tre Holloman	G	15	0-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Love	Guard	37	7-20	2-9	1-2	4	4	1	0	17
Keshad Johnson	Forward	31	4-5	1-2	4-4	10	1	4	2	13
Kylan Boswell	G	36	5-15	2-7	0-0	3	3	2	0	12
Oumar Ballo	Center	25	4-7	0-0	2-5	3	1	0	0	10
Pelle Larsson	Guard	19	2-5	0-0	6-7	3	1	1	0	10
KJ Lewis	G	18	3-5	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	6
Jaden Bradley	G	24	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Motiejus Krivas	C	10	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	2	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

100.6Offensive Efficiency109.5

109.5Defensive Efficiency100.6

-8.9Net Efficiency8.9

44.5%Effective FG%50.0%

48.1%True Shooting %54.0%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.0%

21.9%Free Throw Rate33.9%

26.6%3-Point Rate32.2%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Arizona won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.