Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.0%Villanova

76.0%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -317

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 72

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 80

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricNorth Carolina

59.4MMH Power Index65.2

114.7Offensive Efficiency115.5

105.9Defensive Efficiency103.8

8.8Net Efficiency11.7

4.4Strength of Schedule7.6

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

67.3Tempo69.0

53.9%Effective FG%54.6%

15.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

31.4%Free Throw Rate38.1%

5.9Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–59.4), offensive efficiency (115.5–114.7), defensive efficiency (103.8–105.9), net efficiency (11.7–8.8).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-1.1–-1.8), offensive rebounding (31.8–31.1).

Final

Villanova

83—81

North Carolina

Villanova by 2 • 75.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATNorth Carolina

23-60FG28-65

38.0%FG%43.0%

5-223PT9-24

23.0%3PT%38.0%

32-36FT16-23

89.0%FT%70.0%

38Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds13

5Assists13

9Turnovers13

4Steals3

1Blocks4

22Fouls30

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	37	11-19	3-5	9-11	10	0	1	0	34
Justin Moore	Guard	36	5-11	0-3	6-6	2	2	0	0	16
Mark Armstrong	Guard	30	2-9	0-1	6-7	2	0	1	0	10
Jordan Longino	Guard	27	3-6	1-4	2-2	3	0	0	0	9
Tyler Burton	Forward	33	1-4	1-3	4-5	7	0	1	0	7
TJ Bamba	Guard	32	1-8	0-4	2-2	3	2	0	0	4
Hakim Hart	Guard	16	0-2	0-1	3-3	3	0	0	0	3
Nnanna Njoku	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Brendan Hausen	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Lance Ware	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	41	8-22	2-8	5-6	5	3	0	0	23
Harrison Ingram	Forward	33	6-8	4-5	4-6	2	2	2	0	20
Cormac Ryan	Guard	38	7-12	2-6	2-3	3	1	1	0	18
Armando Bacot	Forward	34	4-10	0-0	0-0	18	2	0	1	8
Seth Trimble	G	13	1-4	0-1	3-3	1	0	0	0	5
Elliot Cadeau	G	17	1-4	1-1	0-2	0	5	0	0	3
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	20	0-2	0-1	2-2	7	0	0	0	2
Paxson Wojcik	Guard	20	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jalen Washington	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	2	0
James Okonkwo	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zayden High	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.5Possessions75.5

109.9Offensive Efficiency107.3

107.3Defensive Efficiency109.9

2.6Net Efficiency-2.6

42.5%Effective FG%50.0%

53.8%True Shooting %53.3%

12.0%Turnover Rate17.1%

60.0%Free Throw Rate35.4%

36.7%3-Point Rate36.9%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Villanova won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 75.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.