Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

86.8%Arkansas

13.2%Memphis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL166.2

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -658

Memphis

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 88

Projected Total166.2

Projected ScoreMemphis 78

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricMemphis

69.3MMH Power Index47.8

122.2Offensive Efficiency104.6

109.8Defensive Efficiency106.5

12.4Net Efficiency-1.9

8.6Strength of Schedule4.4

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.1

73.8Tempo71.9

56.4%Effective FG%48.7%

12.2%Turnover Rate18.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

36.5%Free Throw Rate35.1%

9.2Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–47.8), offensive efficiency (122.2–104.6), net efficiency (12.4–-1.9), strength of schedule (8.6–4.4).

Memphis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.5–109.8), offensive rebounding (35.0–31.8).

Final

Arkansas

79—84

Memphis

Memphis by 5 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATMemphis

26-55FG26-53

47.3%FG%49.1%

7-183PT8-24

38.9%3PT%33.3%

20-27FT24-30

74.1%FT%80.0%

33Rebounds24

13Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists14

18Turnovers13

4Steals10

2Blocks7

25Fouls20

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khalif Battle	Guard	30	5-8	3-4	8-11	2	0	1	0	21
Davonte Davis	Guard	38	5-14	3-7	2-2	3	1	0	0	15
Trevon Brazile	F	39	5-10	1-3	2-2	10	1	2	0	13
Tramon Mark	G	26	4-9	0-2	4-5	1	0	1	0	12
Layden Blocker	G	27	3-5	0-0	3-4	3	1	0	0	9
Chandler Lawson	Forward	10	2-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	5
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	17	2-2	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	2	4
El Ellis	Guard	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	0

Memphis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Jones-Garcia	Forward	33	10-14	4-8	12-14	4	2	5	0	36
Nick Jourdain	Forward	20	5-5	2-2	0-0	3	0	0	2	12
Jaykwon Walton	Guard	27	4-8	1-4	2-3	3	2	1	1	11
Jahvon Quinerly	Guard	27	0-6	0-5	6-6	1	4	0	0	6
Jordan Brown	Center	12	2-2	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	5
Jay Young	Guard	19	1-2	0-0	2-3	0	3	1	0	4
Jayden Hardaway	Guard	15	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Malcolm Dandridge	Forward	13	1-5	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	3	2
Ashton Hardaway	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
Carl Cherenfant	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

109.6Offensive Efficiency116.5

116.5Defensive Efficiency109.6

-6.9Net Efficiency6.9

53.6%Effective FG%56.6%

58.2%True Shooting %62.5%

24.7%Turnover Rate18.2%

49.1%Free Throw Rate56.6%

32.7%3-Point Rate45.3%

0.39Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Memphis won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.