Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Arkansas

51.3%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL165.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -105

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 82

Projected Total165.8

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 84

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricNorth Carolina

69.3MMH Power Index65.2

122.2Offensive Efficiency115.5

109.8Defensive Efficiency103.8

12.4Net Efficiency11.7

8.6Strength of Schedule7.6

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

73.8Tempo69.0

56.4%Effective FG%54.6%

12.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

36.5%Free Throw Rate38.1%

9.2Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–65.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.5), net efficiency (12.4–11.7), strength of schedule (8.6–7.6).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.8–109.8), free throw rate (38.1–36.5).

Final

Arkansas

72—87

North Carolina

North Carolina by 15 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATNorth Carolina

26-55FG28-57

47.3%FG%49.1%

5-173PT6-14

29.4%3PT%42.9%

15-20FT25-35

75.0%FT%71.4%

27Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds13

6Assists11

12Turnovers10

4Steals3

6Blocks—

27Fouls24

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tramon Mark	G	33	13-17	4-6	4-7	5	0	0	1	34
Layden Blocker	G	29	3-6	0-0	5-6	2	1	3	1	11
Jeremiah Davenport	Guard	25	3-8	1-5	2-2	1	1	1	0	9
Khalif Battle	Guard	18	3-7	0-3	3-3	4	1	0	0	9
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	11	2-5	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Chandler Lawson	Forward	19	2-5	0-1	0-1	3	2	0	0	4
Davonte Davis	Guard	23	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Trevon Brazile	F	20	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	2	0
El Ellis	Guard	17	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Baye Fall	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Joseph Pinion	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	35	9-18	2-5	10-10	2	2	1	30
Harrison Ingram	Forward	40	5-10	0-2	3-5	10	6	2	13
Seth Trimble	G	25	4-5	2-2	2-4	4	0	0	12
Armando Bacot	Forward	28	3-9	0-0	3-3	4	0	0	9
Elliot Cadeau	G	26	2-4	1-1	2-4	2	3	0	7
Jalen Washington	F	10	1-1	0-0	4-7	5	0	0	6
Paxson Wojcik	Guard	20	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	5
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	16	2-5	0-1	1-2	5	0	0	5

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

102.0Offensive Efficiency123.2

123.2Defensive Efficiency102.0

-21.2Net Efficiency21.2

51.8%Effective FG%54.4%

55.8%True Shooting %59.1%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.2%

36.4%Free Throw Rate61.4%

30.9%3-Point Rate24.6%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.