Alabama

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.2%Alabama

48.8%Ohio State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio State -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL168.0

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -105

Ohio State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama 84

Projected Total168.0

Projected ScoreOhio State 84

Team Comparison

AlabamaMetricOhio State

69.5MMH Power Index64.5

121.6Offensive Efficiency118.1

111.2Defensive Efficiency108.1

10.4Net Efficiency10.0

9.4Strength of Schedule6.4

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency6.3

74.7Tempo67.2

54.9%Effective FG%56.9%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

36.9%Free Throw Rate38.3%

7.7Average Margin6.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–64.5), offensive efficiency (121.6–118.1), net efficiency (10.4–10.0), strength of schedule (9.4–6.4).

Ohio State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.1–111.2), shooting efficiency (56.9–54.9), free throw rate (38.3–36.9).

Final

Alabama

81—92

Ohio State

Ohio State by 11 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AlabamaTEAM STATOhio State

26-56FG27-50

46.4%FG%54.0%

9-303PT10-18

30.0%3PT%55.6%

20-26FT28-30

76.9%FT%93.3%

24Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists10

12Turnovers14

5Steals9

3Blocks1

26Fouls24

Player Box Score

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aaron Estrada	Guard	33	9-17	2-5	1-2	3	4	1	0	21
Grant Nelson	Forward	31	5-11	1-5	9-9	6	2	0	3	20
Mark Sears	Guard	36	6-12	2-6	3-6	4	4	3	0	17
Latrell Wrightsell	G	24	2-4	1-3	4-4	1	0	0	0	9
Rylan Griffen	G	22	1-4	1-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Jarin Stevenson	F	25	1-6	1-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Sam Walters	F	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Mohamed Wague	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Nick Pringle	F	16	0-0	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	0	1

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bruce Thornton	G	36	6-12	4-6	13-14	3	4	1	0	29
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	36	8-11	1-2	6-6	4	2	1	0	23
Zed Key	Forward	21	4-4	0-0	3-4	3	1	0	0	11
Jamison Battle	Forward	27	2-7	1-5	4-4	3	1	3	0	9
Dale Bonner	Guard	27	3-8	3-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	9
Scotty Middleton	F	9	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Evan Mahaffey	F	23	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	3	0	4
Felix Okpara	F	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	10	0	0	1	2
Devin Royal	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

111.9Offensive Efficiency127.1

127.1Defensive Efficiency111.9

-15.2Net Efficiency15.2

54.5%Effective FG%64.0%

59.3%True Shooting %71.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate19.6%

46.4%Free Throw Rate60.0%

53.6%3-Point Rate36.0%

0.83Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Ohio State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.