Saint Joseph's

24-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Saint Joseph's

78.2%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.0

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -359

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Joseph's 69

Projected Total147.0

Projected ScoreVillanova 78

Team Comparison

Saint Joseph'sMetricVillanova

52.5MMH Power Index59.4

106.5Offensive Efficiency114.7

102.2Defensive Efficiency105.9

4.3Net Efficiency8.8

-0.2Strength of Schedule4.4

6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

68.7Tempo67.3

49.8%Effective FG%53.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

31.1%Free Throw Rate31.4%

2.9Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–52.5), offensive efficiency (114.7–106.5), net efficiency (8.8–4.3), strength of schedule (4.4–-0.2).

Saint Joseph's COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.2–105.9), recent form (6.7–-1.1), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.8).

Final

Saint Joseph's

78—65

Villanova

Saint Joseph's by 13 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Joseph'sTEAM STATVillanova

29-51FG22-56

56.9%FG%39.3%

14-273PT10-37

51.9%3PT%27.0%

6-10FT11-14

60.0%FT%78.6%

27Rebounds33

6Offensive Rebounds14

19Assists15

11Turnovers17

9Steals5

3Blocks2

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Saint Joseph's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Erik Reynolds II	Guard	35	8-13	5-8	3-5	0	3	0	0	24
Xzayvier Brown	G	29	6-9	4-5	0-0	2	3	0	0	16
Lynn Greer III	Guard	35	7-10	1-1	0-0	3	7	4	0	15
Rasheer Fleming	Forward	30	4-11	1-6	3-5	11	2	2	1	12
Kacper Klaczek	F	12	3-3	2-2	0-0	1	0	1	1	8
Cameron Brown	Guard	38	1-4	1-4	0-0	7	1	1	1	3
Anthony Finkley	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	3	1	0	0
Shawn Simmons II	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Moore	Guard	38	6-16	3-12	2-2	5	3	0	0	17
Eric Dixon	Forward	27	4-8	0-1	6-8	3	3	1	1	14
Brendan Hausen	G	17	3-10	3-10	0-0	1	0	1	0	9
Jordan Longino	Guard	25	3-5	2-3	0-0	7	1	0	0	8
Hakim Hart	Guard	10	3-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Tyler Burton	Forward	28	2-4	1-3	0-0	4	2	0	1	5
Mark Armstrong	Guard	16	1-3	1-2	2-2	0	2	1	0	5
TJ Bamba	Guard	31	0-5	0-4	1-2	4	3	1	0	1
Lance Ware	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

123.2Offensive Efficiency102.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency123.2

20.5Net Efficiency-20.5

70.6%Effective FG%48.2%

70.0%True Shooting %51.9%

18.1%Turnover Rate25.9%

19.6%Free Throw Rate25.0%

52.9%3-Point Rate66.1%

1.73Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Saint Joseph's won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.