Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%Buffalo

69.0%James Madison

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJames Madison -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.6

MODEL MONEYLINEJames Madison -223

James Madison

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 74

Projected Total153.6

Projected ScoreJames Madison 79

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricJames Madison

49.7MMH Power Index52.3

114.9Offensive Efficiency110.5

112.2Defensive Efficiency109.4

2.7Net Efficiency1.1

0.0Strength of Schedule1.2

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency7.9

67.9Tempo67.5

56.1%Effective FG%53.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

40.4%Free Throw Rate36.6%

1.8Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.9–110.5), net efficiency (2.7–1.1), shooting efficiency (56.1–53.3), ball security (16.1–17.3).

James Madison COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.3–49.7), defensive efficiency (109.4–112.2), strength of schedule (1.2–0.0).

Final

Buffalo

66—81

James Madison

James Madison by 15 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATJames Madison

24-53FG31-64

45.3%FG%48.4%

9-263PT10-27

34.6%3PT%37.0%

9-14FT9-15

64.3%FT%60.0%

29Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds13

8Assists19

18Turnovers8

5Steals10

5Blocks3

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sy Chatman	Forward	29	8-13	3-6	0-2	4	0	0	1	19
Ryan Sabol	G	32	4-13	3-8	4-4	2	1	0	0	15
Kanye Jones	G	24	3-7	2-4	3-4	5	0	0	0	11
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	30	4-7	1-4	1-2	1	3	1	0	10
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	26	3-8	0-2	0-1	5	0	1	3	6
Zaakir Williamson	F	13	1-1	0-0	1-1	3	0	1	0	3
Anquan Boldin Jr.	G	31	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	3	2	0	2
Bryson Wilson	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

James Madison

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
T.J. Bickerstaff	Not Available	27	8-15	0-0	2-4	7	4	1	0	18
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	26	6-11	1-2	2-3	4	3	0	0	15
Michael Green III	Guard	32	5-10	4-8	0-0	1	5	2	0	14
Noah Freidel	Guard	32	5-13	3-9	0-0	4	1	1	1	13
Xavier Brown	G	20	2-3	2-3	2-2	4	3	0	1	8
Jaylen Carey	F	12	3-3	0-0	1-4	2	0	1	0	7
Raekwon Horton	Forward	23	1-4	0-2	2-2	5	3	4	1	4
Quincy Allen	G	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Julien Wooden	Forward	24	0-3	0-3	0-0	4	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

97.9Offensive Efficiency120.2

120.2Defensive Efficiency97.9

-22.3Net Efficiency22.3

53.8%Effective FG%56.3%

55.3%True Shooting %56.9%

26.2%Turnover Rate12.1%

26.4%Free Throw Rate23.4%

49.1%3-Point Rate42.2%

0.44Assist / Turnover2.38

Game Summary

James Madison won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.