Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.4%Texas State

86.6%Texas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas -12.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINETexas -646

Texas

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 71

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreTexas 83

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricTexas

49.4MMH Power Index61.6

107.7Offensive Efficiency119.6

103.4Defensive Efficiency110.1

4.3Net Efficiency9.5

-4.7Strength of Schedule5.3

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.4

68.6Tempo69.2

51.3%Effective FG%55.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate15.5%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %35.9%

36.0%Free Throw Rate44.3%

2.9Average Margin6.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.6–49.4), offensive efficiency (119.6–107.7), net efficiency (9.5–4.3), strength of schedule (5.3–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–110.1), recent form (9.1–-5.4).

Final

Texas State

58—58

Texas

Tied • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATTexas

24-58FG24-58

41.4%FG%41.4%

3-93PT3-9

33.3%3PT%33.3%

7-14FT7-14

50.0%FT%50.0%

31Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds9

4Assists4

13Turnovers13

8Steals8

4Blocks4

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Dawson	Guard	32	4-9	2-4	5-6	3	1	1	1	15
Brandon Love	Forward	30	6-14	0-0	2-6	5	0	3	2	14
Jordan Mason	G	28	5-12	0-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	10
Joshua O'Garro	G	25	4-7	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	8
Elijah Tate	Guard	22	3-4	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	7
Christian Turner	Forward	32	1-6	0-0	0-2	6	0	2	0	2
Dontae Horne	G	22	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Chris Nix	Forward	9	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Texas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Dawson	Guard	32	4-9	2-4	5-6	3	1	1	1	15
Brandon Love	Forward	30	6-14	0-0	2-6	5	0	3	2	14
Jordan Mason	G	28	5-12	0-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	10
Joshua O'Garro	G	25	4-7	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	8
Elijah Tate	Guard	22	3-4	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	7
Christian Turner	Forward	32	1-6	0-0	0-2	6	0	2	0	2
Dontae Horne	G	22	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Chris Nix	Forward	9	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

84.4Offensive Efficiency84.4

84.4Defensive Efficiency84.4

0.0Net Efficiency0.0

44.0%Effective FG%44.0%

44.9%True Shooting %44.9%

18.9%Turnover Rate18.9%

24.1%Free Throw Rate24.1%

15.5%3-Point Rate15.5%

0.31Assist / Turnover0.31

Game Summary

Neither team finished level. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.